Fed Watch

Beige Book Shows Slowing Growth, Hot Water Over Trading

The Fed released its Beige Book, which is published 8 times each year. The document is primarily anecdotal information on economic conditions by district. Given, the different specialization in regional economies it is a nuanced look at the US economy at a more granular level and we always find it to be useful information.

Many critics of Powell’s most recent speech that focused on bolstering the transitory narrative pointed out that despite his dismissal, the Beige Book had been picking up anecdotal evidence of businesses experiencing inflation. This most recent release saw more of that as well, and also saw economic growth slowing as a result of the Delta variant, particularly in industries most susceptible to adverse healthcare developments.

The firm specified that the majority of the pullback was in dining out, travel and tourism in most of the districts. Many large events and conferences that had been planned have had to be cancelled due to the Delta variant. Some large regional employers have cancelled the full physical return to the office as well.

Supply chain problems were evident across most districts. This likely held back growth in some areas like in the sales of automobiles and homes. The ongoing chip shortage continues to hamper planned levels of product...

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