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FSI Macro

Wednesday, September 28, 3PM ET Members Only: FSI Macro and FSI Pro LIVE Technical Stock Analysis - September 2022 Speaker: [MarkNewton V3] Mark L. Newton, CMT Head of Technical Strategy Register for the Webinar 00 Days 00 Hours 00 Minutes 00 Seconds Register for the...

Defensives give way again, as Technology holds strong
  • Brian's Dunks
September 27

September 2022 Dunks Update

Our research, which has been developed over two decades of Wall Street experience, strongly suggests that our Dunks Product can add significant value by supplementing the actively managed part of your portfolio. By highlighting individual stocks with high-quality reward risk ratios that over the medium/long-term it is possible to raise...

  • US Policy
September 27

Government funding down to the wire

The end of the US government’s fiscal year on October 1 is fast approaching.  Without a temporary fix, referred to as a Continuing Resolution or CR, all non-essential areas of the government must shutdown.  The House and Senate were out on Monday in observance of Rosh Hashanah and return today. ...

Treasuries, US Dollar and Stocks have potential to turn next week

Wednesday, September 28, 3PM ET Members Only: FSI Macro and FSI Pro LIVE Technical Stock Analysis - September 2022 Speaker: [MarkNewton V3] Mark L. Newton, CMT Head of Technical Strategy Register for the Webinar 00 Days 00 Hours 00 Minutes 00 Seconds Register for the Webinar [LIVE Technical Stock Analysis...

  • First Word
September 26

Fed losing patience with inflation progress, near peak "hawkish" vs futures. Retail looks to be near capitulation

Investors appear to have given up all hope for any soft landing post the Sept FOMC (9/21). Looking at market reactions, post-FOMC:Fed Funds futures now pricing 4.75% Fed Funds rate by June 2023Inflation breakevens 1-year forward have dropped to 1.97%Fed Funds implied June 2023 +38bpInflation 12M forward dropped -32bpImplied Fed...

S&P Breaks June Lows in the Afternoon and Recovers into Close, Dow at 2022 Low

The Dow and the S&P 500 were down about 5% for the week. THE JUNE 16TH LOWS WERE BREACHED INTRADAY FOR THE S&P 500. CHANCES OF RECESSION ARE GOING UP, ACCORDING TO JP MORGAN. THEY ARE ABOUT AT A COIN FLIP OVER THE NEXT YEAR AND 74% OVER TWO YEARS....

  • US Policy
September 23

Government Funding Deadline Approaches

The big market news this week was the Fed action increasing rates by 75 bps. The Fed chair, as has been his policy, well telegraphed the move and most market participants had expected the action. At the post-meeting press conference the Chair reiterated his basic stance that the Fed will...

Risk-reward for Shorts looks subpar with indices nearing June lows

Note: I will be traveling today and therefore will not be publishing a video. Thank you for your understanding. Markets are now approaching price targets for this decline, and there’s a good likelihood of a trading low to this pullback likely early next week.  For the second day in a...

  • First Word
September 23

While investors know Fed wants inflation "deader than dead", metric is not entirely clear. While not singular, Volcker finally ended "war" when 3M annualized CPI fell to 2.5%

After many conversations with clients since the Sept FOMC (9/21), our overarching takeaways are the following:Fed sole focus is quashing inflation andIn a way to make sure inflation is "deader than dead"How this is measured is not entirely clearInvestors have lost faith in economists' models/projections on inflationFed similarly has little...

US still much more attractive than Europe

The selling continues directly following the advance in Treasury yields, and US major benchmark indices have all fallen now to within striking distance of June lows.  My thinking is that there’s a good likelihood of a retest of lows in QQQ, while SPX gets close, before rebounds happen starting the...

1962 All Over Again?

NOTE: I AM UNABLE TO MAKE A VIDEO TODAY DUE TO TRAVEL PLANS. THANK YOU FOR YOUR UNDERSTANDING. The key technical takeaway from Wednesday’s FOMC meeting was that Equities continue to follow the movement in Treasury yields.  Rates and the US Dollar continue to push higher and despite the roller-coaster...