Miscellaneous
19 Results
Over Friday and Saturday last week, Avalanche Labs put on their second edition of ‘Avalanche House’ in Brooklyn (with the first one in Berlin). The team attended Friday afternoon’s session as outlined below and shared the following notes and perspectives from the panelists. FIGURE: AVALANCHE HOUSE PANELIST SESSIONSTRATEGIC FUNDRAISING DURING A BEAR MARKET _Lydia Chiu (Ava Labs), Tom Schmidt (Dragonfly Capital), Nina Bambysheva (Forbes), Travis Scher (North Island Ventures)__ _The...
We are writing to update our clients on the events of this past weekend and highlight a few data points we will be keeping an eye on moving forward into the next couple of weeks. On Friday, December 3rd, over $2 billion in long positions across the global crypto market were liquidated, nearly $850 million of which were from BTC futures.Almost $500 billion in total market value was wiped from the...
As shown below, Bitcoin's forward performance is far stronger when it is trading above its 200D moving average: >200D, 6M forward return +193% <200D, 6M forward return +10% You get the picture, Bitcoin is a network effect/network value asset, and also apparently aided by price momentum. _STRATEGY: BUY BITCOIN OR BUY CRYPTO EQUITIES_ The associated action for Rule #3 is simple. - go long _WHY IS THIS...
But unlike past weekends, Bitcoin barely responded to these headlines (see below). In fact, Bitcoin is indeed flat/rising over the long weekend: - at 4pm ET Friday (5/28), Bitcoin was ~$34,900 - at 3:50pm ET Sunday (5/30) when FT story "broke" Bitcoin was ~$36,000 - as of this writing at 4:30pm ET (5/31), Bitcoin is $36,900, +$900 vs FT headline In other words, despite another set of "negative headlines" Bitcoin...
Unpopular opinion --> We expect stable/rising prices. Setup for Bitcoin and crypto is "less bad" into the weekend = good.
_PS: HOW DOES BITCOIN SPILL OVER INTO EQUITIES?_ These crypto sell-offs have potential impacts on equity and broader markets, for several reasons: - many US crypto holders also own equities (ala Robinhood) - Bitcoin futures are traded by macro funds, hence, drawdowns/limit down moves impact macro markets - Bitcoin has become somewhat loosely connected to the equities, because both are "risk-on" assets -- more apparent these days
THE TEN RULES OF BITCOIN INVESTING: RULE NO. 5 THE RULE OF ‘THE TEN BEST DAYS.’ If you have read the first four parts of this series, you’d know that: 1 the U.S. is going to be very important in the continued development of Bitcoin and crypto currencies; 2 the Bitcoin Misery index is a proprietary FSI tool that has been a good way to evaluate how investors feel about...
THE TEN RULES OF BITCOIN INVESTING: RULE NO. 4 BITCOIN PERFORMS BEST WHEN S&P 500 INDEX IS PERFORMING STRONGLY If you have read the first three parts of this series, you’d know that the U.S. is going to be very important in the continued development of Bitcoin and crypto currencies; that the Bitcoin Misery index is a proprietary FSI tool that has been a good way to evaluate how investors...
(FSInsight. com’s head of research Tom Lee revealed the first five of his ten rules of Bitcoin investing on April 23, 2020 and gave an updated outlook for the remainder of the year. The final five of ten rules will be published later this year. The webinar is available on the website and the following is a condensed version of his comments. This is the third in a series of...
THE TEN RULES OF BITCOIN INVESTING: RULE NO. 2 RULE #2: CONSENSUS MOSTLY RIGHT, THUS BITCOIN MISERY INDEX The Bitcoin Misery Index (BMI) is a diffusion index, a proprietary tool that we invented for our clients interested in cryptocurrency investing. In essence, the BMI is a proxy for how investors feel about bitcoin’s “price action.” It measures the expected sentiment of a holder of bitcoin (where a reading of 50=Neutral,...
THE TEN RULES OF BITCOIN INVESTING Cryptocurrencies and Bitcoin (BTC) have been around for over a decade, a time period in which they are solidly up. However, as an asset class the believers in it are few, to go by the minuscule amount of money invested, 0.1% of the total, vs. other financial assets. Still, as I have noted before, Bitcoin has shown and continues to show great resilience, such...
