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Macro Research

Latest Updates

Latest

Daily Technical Strategy

September 27

Defensives give way again, as Technology holds strong

Latest

US Policy

September 27

Government funding down to the wire

Daily Technical Strategy

September 26

Treasuries, US Dollar and Stocks have potential to turn next week

First Word

September 26

Fed losing patience with inflation progress, near peak "hawkish" vs futures. Retail looks to be near capitulation

US Policy

September 23

Government Funding Deadline Approaches

Your Weekly Roadmap

September 23

S&P Breaks June Lows in the Afternoon and Recovers into Close, Dow at 2022 Low

First Word

September 26

Fed losing patience with inflation progress, near peak "hawkish" vs futures. Retail looks to be near capitulation

Investors appear to have given up all hope for any soft landing post the Sept FOMC (9/21). Looking at market reactions, post-FOMC:Fed Funds futures now...

September 23

- While investors know Fed wants inflation "deader than dead", metric is not entirely clear. While not singular, Volcker finally ended "war" when 3M annualized CPI fell to 2.5%

September 21

- As investors brace for a "hawkish"-leaning Sept FOMC, notwithstanding August CPI, progress seen on inflation since June FOMC

September 19

- Sept FOMC... markets expect +75bp and "hawkish" surprise less likely given last 4 weeks. Market's reaction to August CPI one of 10 worst since 1970.

Technical Strategy

Latest

Daily Technical Strategy

September 27

Defensives give way again, as Technology holds strong

Wednesday, September 28, 3PM ET Members Only: FSI Macro and FSI Pro LIVE Technical Stock Analysis - September 2022 Speaker: [MarkNewton V3] Mark L. Newton,...

September 26

- Treasuries, US Dollar and Stocks have potential to turn next week

September 23

- Risk-reward for Shorts looks subpar with indices nearing June lows

September 22

- US still much more attractive than Europe

Your Weekly Roadmap

September 23

S&P Breaks June Lows in the Afternoon and Recovers into Close, Dow at 2022 Low

The Dow and the S&P 500 were down about 5% for the week. THE JUNE 16TH LOWS WERE BREACHED INTRADAY FOR THE S&P 500. CHANCES...

September 16

- All Eyes on Powell as Markets Struggle Amidst August CPI Report

September 9

- Market Has First Week Up After Three Down, Dollar Reversal Spurs Risk Rally In Equities

September 2

- Markets Has Third Consecutive Week Down, Unemployment Rises to 3.7%, Geopolitical Woes Rising Across Globe

FSI Sector Allocation

FSI Sector Allocation

September 2

2022 September FSI Sector Outlook

My work and key indicators remain unfavorable now that “Dovish Pivot” by the Fed has been definitively taken off the board, and for now equity...

August 2

- 2022 August FSI Sector Outlook

July 6

- 2022 July FSI Sector Outlook

June 6

- 2022 June FSI Sector Outlook

Quantitative Strategy

Factor Strategy

September 13

September 2022 Factor Commentary

FACTOR PERFORMANCE REVIEW We track the performance of six factors (growth, quality, low-volatility, momentum, size, and value) as part of our multi-factor strategy. Over the...

August 18

- Alternative Data: Updates of Social Media-Based Signals

August 9

- August 2022 Factor Commentary

July 12

- July 2022 Factor Commentary

Granny Shots

September 2

Best bets in 2022 - Week 35

Below we've highlighted stocks that we recommend across at least two of our investment strategies for 2022. These companies could benefit from multiple themes and...

August 26

- Best bets in 2022 - Week 34

August 19

- Best bets in 2022 - Week 33

August 12

- Best bets in 2022 - Week 32

Brian's Dunks

Latest

Brian's Dunks

September 27

September 2022 Dunks Update

Our research, which has been developed over two decades of Wall Street experience, strongly suggests that our Dunks Product can add significant value by supplementing...

August 10

- Dunks Update

July 22

- July 2022 Dunks Update

July 13

- Dunks Update

Portfolio Strategy

August 1

Wall Street Whispers: August 1

FLASH COMMENTS: As a forecaster who has been concerned about an equity market that had unfinished business on the downside, July’s rally that began at...

July 22

- My Work Shows Choppy Seas Ahead For Equities

July 15

- Earnings Pain And More Downside Likely Ahead

July 15

- LIVE Sector & Stock Analysis July 2022

Wall Street Whispers

September 20

What Our Clients Are Talking About Behind The Scenes

FLASH COMMENTS: I am sure everyone was quite happy when Friday ended last week after the sharp move lower in the U.S. equity market. All...

September 12

- What Our Clients Are Talking About Behind The Scenes

September 7

- What Our Clients Are Talking About Behind The Scenes

August 30

- What Our Clients Are Talking About Behind The Scenes

Alpha City

July 22

My Work Shows Choppy Seas Ahead For Equities

After equity market strength through Thursday, Friday saw some weakness as earnings and growth fears once again resurfaced. The earnings season has thus far been...

July 15

- Earnings Pain And More Downside Likely Ahead

July 14

- Sector Analysis Tutorial: Brian Rauscher’s Proprietary 8-Panel Analysis

July 1

- My Work Suggests 3600-3500 As Next Key Range

Signal from Noise

September 1

Game of Chromes: The Next Chapter of Mobility

"When you play the game of thrones [chromes], you win, or you die [go bankrupt]. There is no middle ground." – Cersei Lannister Source: Detroit...

August 18

- Where Does FinTech Stand After The Sell-Off?

August 4

- Healthcare Showing Promise: Why We’re Bullish

July 22

- The Fairest of The FAANG: Special Report on the Tech Generals

US Policy

Latest

US Policy

September 27

Government funding down to the wire

The end of the US government’s fiscal year on October 1 is fast approaching. Without a temporary fix, referred to as a Continuing Resolution or...

September 23

- Government Funding Deadline Approaches

September 19

- Fed meets, government plan to avoid shutdown, rail agreement and midterms

September 16

- Fed Day Arrives, Government Funding Unresolved

Fed Watch

September 22

What Does September’s Rate Hike and Dot Plot Mean For Markets?

The FOMC met yesterday to announce their latest rate hike. As the market for Fed Funds Futures implied leading up to the meeting, the committee...

September 2

- The Smoke Clears After Jackson Hole, Jobs Report Encouraging

August 26

- Special Edition: Everything You Need to Know About Jackson Hole

August 19

- Fed Minutes: Despite Encouraging July CPI, Inflation Remains Far Too High

Earnings Daily

August 26

FSInsight 2Q22 Daily Earnings Update - 8/26/2022

12 companies are reporting this week.Of the 480 companies that have reported so far (96% of the S&P 500), overall earnings results are beating estimates...

August 25

- FSInsight 2Q22 Daily Earnings Update - 8/25/2022

August 24

- FSInsight 2Q22 Daily Earnings Update - 8/24/2022

August 23

- FSInsight 2Q22 Daily Earnings Update - 8/23/2022

Macro Videos

April 22

MoneyShow Virtual Expo with Raoul Pal & Tom Lee

Why the Wall of Worry Hitting Markets Doesn't Mean a Bear Market Is Starting & Best Strategies to Navigate MoneyShow Virtual Expo: April 19-21, 2022...

April 11

- Tom Lee: The Fed may not have to do nine hikes this year

April 7

- Tom Lee On BTC and the Beef Trade

February 17

- NewEdge Wealth | 2022 Market Outlook with Tom Lee and Rob Sechan

Tom Lee's Equity Strategy

September 2

ISM prices decline points to future steep fall in PPI (like a rock). Remote-work creating same job posting in multiple cities (overstating tightness?) 2H rally thesis strained but still intact

There is a lot of trepidation about markets in September. The seasonals worry investors (one of the toughest months), coupled with midterm election uncertainties (not...

August 19

- With housing weakening, investors bringing out their “2008 hammers” again. Cognitive bias in full force. 2H rally intact.

August 12

- Inflation showing decisive “break” in pattern. Rally strengthening = focus on lower quality. 6 names. 2H rally intact.

August 5