Daily cases continue to show improvement, but the pace has slowed somewhat. As you can see below, the figures are still lower than a week ago, but at a slower pace. In the past week, there has been a pick up in cases in AZ, NJ, DE, MI and MA. But these rises coupled with stubborn case levels in FL and NY keep this from showing faster improvement.

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The 7D delta in daily cases has now been negative for 14 consecutive days As you’ll recall it was negative for 40 plus days and then likely spiked due to testing distortions caused by the destructive cold snap that hit the country weeks ago. US hospitalization rates are still rolling over.

Vaccination progress continues steadily, and the President’s announcement last night of making vaccinations available for adults by May 1st is a major positive for markets. Many people had doubted the original timeline and now we are significantly ahead of schedule. This is incredibly bullish for markets and is a scenario that exceeds what consensus expectations were if it can be pulled off. A goal of a semblance of normalcy around Independence Day is a big deal and means the White House is going to focus on getting buy in from governors and mayors to achieve this target. Given the skepticism we...

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