Macro Strategy
- Outlooks
- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: 2025 Year Ahead - Two “puts” make a right - After 20% back-to-back, Mid-year 7,000, Year-end 6,600
PLEASE JOIN US TOMORROW AT 1PM ET FOR OUR 2025 YEAR AHEAD OUTLOOK. Register HERE. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 5:29). https://vimeo. com/1038001660/7ba01aaa43? share=copy _____________________________ 44 SMID GRANNY SHOT IDEAS: We performed our quarterly rebalance on 11/25. Full stock list here -> Click here ______________________________ PS: if you are enjoying...
- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: NY Fed consumer survey shows improvement, but could be political bias. Markets now entering "zone of uncertainty
VIDEO: The risk/reward is challenged near term due to the key incoming macro data, but we still see a YE rally Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 3:59). https://vimeo. com/1037613624/13df91d2ed? share=copy _____________________________ 44 SMID GRANNY SHOT IDEAS: We performed our quarterly rebalance on 11/25. Full stock list here -> Click here ______________________________...
First Word
Trump plans to keep Powell = near-term positive. Nov CPI released on Thu. Syria toppling over weekend barely moves Bitcoin (proxy for risk-assets).
VIDEO: There were several notable headlines over the weekend, including the toppling of Syria and President Trump interview on NBC's Meet the Press Please click below...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Trump plans to keep Powell = near-term positive. Nov CPI released on Thu. Syria toppling over weekend barely moves Bitcoin (proxy for risk-assets).
VIDEO: There were several notable headlines over the weekend, including the toppling of Syria and President Trump interview on NBC's Meet the Press Please click below...
First Word
Bracing for a possible "strong" Nov jobs report. But ultimately, even if Fed makes fewer cuts in 2025, this lengthens dovish cycle = good
VIDEO: There is a lot of macro data released Friday. We believe odds favor Nov jobs report stronger than expected and this might trigger from "good...
- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Bracing for a possible "strong" Nov jobs report. But ultimately, even if Fed makes fewer cuts in 2025, this lengthens dovish cycle = good
VIDEO: There is a lot of macro data released Friday. We believe odds favor Nov jobs report stronger than expected and this might trigger from "good news is bad news for stocks" but we would buy that dip Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 4:22). https://vimeo. com/1036513785/dc783d4b0f? share=copy _____________________________ 44...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Fed Chair Powell comments at NY Times/Dealbook hints at slower pace of cuts. But we see this as actually constructive
VIDEO: We discuss the fact the Fed needs to move to Neutral, and a slower pace of cutting means a longer dovish cycle. Also, Bitcoin...
Macro Strategy
Video: Macro Minute: JOLTS (Oct) give markets pause on whether Fed "pauses" -- but larger picture remains that Dec seasonals strong
VIDEO: We discuss how today's JOLTS (job openings) report might be distorted by Hurricanes and strikes. And the case for a Dec rally remains intact...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Today's Nov ISM of 48.4 (vs 47.6) shows US manufacturing likely on road to recovery = supportive for equities into YE
VIDEO: We discuss how the incoming macro is supportive of stocks in the near term. Moreover, we see the probabilities rising that Bitcoin exceeds $100,000...
First Word
4 reasons we see December rally to S&P 500 6,300. But with risk of "zone of hesitation" in next 2 weeks. Buy the dips
VIDEO: We see 4 reasons stock rally in December with S&P 500 reaching 6,300. But we discuss the possible reasons for a "zone of hestiation"...