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Tireless Ken model forecasts Omicron to peak USA on 1/9/2022 at >395k cases. Base case remains S&P 500 4,800 by YE

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STRATEGY: Tireless Ken model forecasts Omicron USA peak 1/9/2022 at > 395k cases

Omicron is sweeping across the USA, but it's turning out to be better than even best case scenario
In case one did not check the news, social media or speak to a friend in the past week, Omicron is sweeping across the USA. And there is a natural dread and uneasiness. Why? Because nobody wants to get infected with COVID but Omicron is so contagious, that is seems almost unavoidable.

Take a look at the tweet from David Sacks on @twitter where he cites some "maths" by Dr. Bob Wachter.

- nearly 1 in 20 people in SF has asymptomatic COVID
- and this is possibly silently spreading the infection
- FYI, Dr. Wachter later corrects and says it is closer to 1 in 45

But still, walk into a 100 seat restaurant and 2-5 people are unaware that they are dining while infected with Omicron.

However, I am not saying this to sow panic. I am simply observing the state of the pandemic. And as we discuss in this note, this is actually not as dire a setup. And arguably, Omicron is tracking even better than the "best case" scenario....

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