Delta variant sure has a lot of "bark but hardly any bite" -- contributing to July chop, but ultimately creates great setup 2H rally

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Monday Tuesday Wednesday SKIP THURSDAY Friday STRATEGY: Delta variant triggering "July chop" but "bark worse than bite"...USA cases are rising but not really parabolic, more barely linearAt the moment, the delta variant is causing a rise in USA cases, but this rise is not exactly parabolic. The latest cases figures for USA: - USA cases +28,202 (2.7X vs low)- UK cases +32,385 (17.5X vs low)- Israel case +409 (42.1X vs low) As you can see below, the 7D delta in USA cases are up, but not really gaining that much momentum. The future is uncertain, so it could rise rapidly, but it is modest so far.   ...Delta variant has a lot of "Bark", and it is unnerving marketsAt the end of June, we had warned that we saw "July chop" coming. We had cited multiple factors at the time, but the three primary drivers were: - Delta variant could lead to a parabolic rise in USA cases to possibly 100,000 --> ~10X to match UK surge - Since 1928, strong 1H, particularly >13% leads to flat/down July, with half instances 3-5% declines - Anecdotally, clients were telling us pundits expected strong July given typical seasonals --> counter-trade consensus And while S&P...

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