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COVID-19 UPDATE: Risk of COVID-19 hospitalization 10X greater in NJ/CT (1 in 27) than in ND/UT (1 in 250). No idea why. Updated Epicenter stock list +18 new names

Click HERE to access the FSInsight COVID-19 Daily Chartbook.

STRATEGY: US case surge driving "soft lockdowns" but epicenter stocks have other tailwindsCOVID-19 is spreading across the US at an accelerating rate and as we commented earlier this week, the US could see >200,000 cases within a few weeks.  The tally for Thursday was >148,000 (+34,000 vs 7D ago), so by Thanksgiving, daily cases should surpass 200,000.  And given flu season lasts until Feb 2021, a peak in cases is still some time away.  But the states we are watching most closely are those with the fastest case growth in Wave 3, WI, IL, ID, ND, SD, UT, or WIINSU.  With the exceptions of ND and SD, daily cases are still surging there.We have yet to see real panic by policymakers in these wave 3 states.  Elsewhere, we are seeing soft lockdowns, NY, even IL.  In fact, as this chart below shows, the hospitalization coefficient (or % of new cases requiring hospitalization) varies widely by state:- In ND and UT, the coefficient is 0.4%, or 1 in 250 confirmed COVID-19 cases is hospitalized- In CT and NJ, the coefficient is 2.7% and 3.1%, or 1 in 37 and 1 in 32, respectivelyThat is a massive differential.  A COVID-19 confirmed case in CT/NJ, aka NY tristate, is basically 10X more...

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