UK Cases rolling over (surge lasted 45 days) = Epicenter 2H2021 rally expected to start this week

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Monday Tuesday Wednesday SKIP THURSDAY Friday STRATEGY: UK Cases rolling over (surge lasted 45 days) = Epicenter stocks expected to rally this weekUK Cases are rolling over -- Delta surge last 45 daysPerhaps the most important development over the past week is that UK COVID-19 cases are decisively rolling over. - On June 3, UK cases starting to ~3,000 per day- Due to the Delta variant- UK pursued full re-opening, despite surge in cases - On July 17, UK cases peak at 54,000 after rising parabolically- This nearly matches prior record peak 67,000 in early Jan 2021 - Delta variant wave lasted 45 days The last point is key. The UK saw a relentless parabolic surge in cases. This lasted 45 days. And even without any mitigation measures, the UK cases have been falling now for the past week. ...USA is 33 days into a surge --> 12 days before USA cases peak? MaybeIf the US follows the template of the UK, daily cases in USA might be peaking in the next 12 days: - UK cases peaked 45 since start of surge- USA is 33 days into surge - as we wrote last week, stocks bottomed 34 days before Wave 2 cases peaked (June 2020)- thus, we think stocks already bottomed ...

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