3 anecdotal signs COVID-19 might be closer to "endemic" than consensus believes = positive bias. Re-balance Granny Shots --> +13 adds, -9 deletes. YTD outperforms +404bp

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STRATEGY: COVID-19 might be closer to "endemic" than consensus believes = positive bias

COVID-19 cases have been <100K for 6 of the last 7 days = good sign
Trends in COVID-19 cases in the US have been promising.  As shown below, daily cases have been below 100,000 for 6 of the last 7 days.  Thus, cases have been falling steadily in the US.  This is even as the Delta-plus variant AY.2.4 has been detected in multiple states.

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The 7D avg in cases is down to 69,331 and as we noted last week, this is looking to be on track for 50,000 by the end of the month.  This is certainly a positive trend in cases, particularly considering the seasonals in the Northeast would suggest cases should be surging.

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Cases are still rising in 9 states in the US
Of the 50 states, only 9 seem to be seeing a rise in cases.  These are shown below and all are in the northern part of the US:

- PA, ME, VT, NH, MI, MN, WI

- Why is PA seeing a rise in cases but not NY, NJ or CT?
- Why is VT, NH, ME seeing a surge in cases but not MA?

This is part of the mystery of COVID-19.

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The southern states i...

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