Wed April 20, 2022

Since 1945, post-tax day equity returns strongest when "big tax hit" involved = strengthens case for near-term upside

If someone asked me to describe 2022 so far, it is a "pie in the face" year. The world is facing several key turning points (inflation, supply chains, monetary policy,...

Mon April 18, 2022

An est. $800 billion capital gains taxes paid by 4/18/2022 = selling pressure alleviating later this week?

On equity, returns up ~20%-plus for 3 consecutive years means investors have substantial capital gains and likely few capital losses. Thus the tax bite is higher. And the pain is...

Wed April 13, 2022

3 reasons stocks might be strengthening. Tax-day + Inflation apex = less "bad" = good for 2H22 +1Q2022 shows EBIT margins still expanding in 2023-beyond

We publish on a 3-day a week schedule: Monday SKIP TUESDAY Wednesday SKIP THURSDAY SKIP FRIDAY <--- Good Friday STRATEGY: LESS BAD IS GOOD _Portions of Episodic inflation are peaking......

Mon April 11, 2022

Nobody bullish + "bad news" only way to avoid "hard landing" Fed = yet, 5 reasons that could explain why stocks behaving as if "doom bottom" was Feb 24th

We publish on a 3-day a week schedule: Monday SKIP TUESDAY Wednesday SKIP THURSDAY SKIP FRIDAY <--- Good Friday STRATEGY: NOBODY BULLISH + "BAD NEWS" ONLY WAY TO AVOID "HARD...

Fri April 8, 2022

"Einhorn is Finkle. Finkle is Einhorn" Dudley OpEd "If stocks don't fall, the Fed needs to force them" shook markets Wednesday... "Einhorn is Finkle. Finkle is Einhorn"

We publish on a 3-day a week schedule: Monday SKIP TUESDAY Wednesday SKIP THURSDAY Friday STRATEGY: DUDLEY OPED "IF STOCKS DON'T FALL, THE FED NEEDS TO FORCE THEM" SHOOK MARKETS...

Wed April 6, 2022

Updating "Granny Shots" adding 7 names, deleting 9 -- seasonals favor inflection in "Pure Growth" + further upside in "Quality Defensive"

We publish on a 3-day a week schedule: Monday SKIP TUESDAY Wednesday SKIP THURSDAY Friday STRATEGY: UPDATING "GRANNY SHOTS" ADDING 7 NAMES, DELETING 9 -- SEASONALS FAVOR INFLECTION IN "PURE...

Mon April 4, 2022

Stocks rising in face of March payrolls miss is another "half-full" sign + Nasdaq 100 Zweig Breadth Thrust 4th sign of "whispering" bottom

We publish on a 3-day a week schedule: Monday SKIP TUESDAY Wednesday SKIP THURSDAY Friday STRATEGY: STOCKS RISING IN FACE OF MARCH PAYROLLS MISS IS ANOTHER "HALF-FULL" SIGN _Many investors...

Fri April 1, 2022

Even as 1Q2022 ends on a sour note, >90% probability that bottom for 2022 in. S&P 500 fell >6% below its 200D and closed >200D = 31 times since WWII = bullish signal

AS MANY STATES ARE REDUCING THE FREQUENCY OF COVID-19 REPORTS, WE WILL ONLY PUBLISH COVID-19 UPDATES ON THURSDAY. BEGINNING THIS WEEK, AS COVID-19 DATA FREQUENCY HAS DECLINED, WE ARE MODIFYING...

Wed March 30, 2022

Inflation "backwardation" is messing up the yield curve, hence the inverted curve not the economic Dim Mak ("death touch") of 2006 or 2019

AS MANY STATES ARE REDUCING THE FREQUENCY OF COVID-19 REPORTS, WE WILL ONLY PUBLISH COVID-19 UPDATES ON THURSDAY. BEGINNING THIS WEEK, AS COVID-19 DATA FREQUENCY HAS DECLINED, WE ARE MODIFYING...

Mon March 28, 2022

Equities arguably priced yield curve inversion + 4 other "wall of worries" --> Previous "recession scares": 8 of 9 times, Technology leads = FAANG

AS MANY STATES ARE REDUCING THE FREQUENCY OF COVID-19 REPORTS, WE WILL ONLY PUBLISH COVID-19 UPDATES ON THURSDAY. BEGINNING THIS WEEK, AS COVID-19 DATA FREQUENCY HAS DECLINED, WE ARE MODIFYING...

Fri March 25, 2022

Markets "whispering bottom" while investors shout "top"

We publish on a 4-day a week schedule Monday Tuesday Wednesday SKIP THURSDAY Friday As many states are reducing the frequency of COVID-19 reports, we will only publish COVID-19 updates...

Wed March 23, 2022

On 2/24/2022, >40% of S&P 500 stocks were in a bear market = 9 of 9 times past 30 years stocks higher 12M out (ex-recession)

We publish on a 4-day a week schedule Monday Tuesday Wednesday SKIP THURSDAY Friday As many states are reducing the frequency of COVID-19 reports, we will only publish COVID-19 updates...