Wed May 18, 2022

Clues continue to emerge for weakening labor = bad news is good for market stability

WEBINAR ALERT: 5/19 AT 2PM ET FOR FSINSIGHT MEMBERS We are delighted to announce we are hosting a webinar with Tom DeMark, founder of DeMark Analytics.Equities have been in a...

Mon May 16, 2022

China ending Shanghai lockdowns sigh of relief and further alleviating downside pressure on stocks

WEBINAR ALERT: 5/19 AT 2PM ET FOR FSINSIGHT MEMBERS We are delighted to announce we are hosting a webinar with Tom DeMark, founder of DeMark Analytics.Equities have been in a...

Fri May 13, 2022

S&P 500 waterfall decline of 16% (5 mos) seen only 18 times since 1940 = signs closer to end of selloff

Good Morning, Click HERE to access the FSInsight COVID-19 Chartbook. _FED POLICY IS ALREADY "BITING HARD" AFTER 3 HIKES—ON THE MARGIN, 3 MORE REASONS INFLATION PRESSURES MIGHT BE PEAKING_ Stocks continued their...

Wed May 11, 2022

Market hypersensitive to inflation data points... but market sees declining forward inflation

To state the obvious (to those watching macro), Wed's April CPI print is going to be important. All markets are hyper-reactive to inflation's trajectory. And given the waterfall decline in...

Mon May 9, 2022

Despite crushing swings last week, stocks posted flat week… but signs inflationary pressures apexing

There was so much drama in the final days of last week, as markets had a "rethink" of the May FOMC meeting, it felt like the entire equity market was...

Thu May 5, 2022

Key takeaways from FOMC = gut check means markets too hawkish = good

Due to the importance of yesterday's FOMC, we are sending out the First Word today, instead of Friday. There will be a resend of today's note with updated COVID data...

Wed May 4, 2022

When pundits panic, investors should counter-trade. 5 of last 6 FOMC, stocks rallied

If someone asked us to explain the primary difference in our relatively more sanguine view of the world versus consensus, it is really the difference between "fighting the Fed" and...

Mon May 2, 2022

4 reasons to view FAANG outperformance at end of April with credence. Market inverting and faster growers = lowest valuations...wut?

In fact, as noted by Ryan Detrick, Strategist at LPL, 2022 is the worst Jan to April start for the S&P 500 since 1939. Because the S&P 500 index was...

Fri April 29, 2022

4 reasons stock market yesterday is like a bad Nicholas Cage movie = so bad, it's good

I am a huge Nicholas Cage fan. Some of his earliest movies had an influence in my youth -- Peggy Sue Got Married, Moonstruck, Leaving Las Vegas, the Rock, Con-air,...

Wed April 27, 2022

Buyer's strike = busted tape. Nasdaq underperformance so bad, since 1985 = future relative gains

Markets are still rattled by war headlines. Russia announced plans to cut natural gas supplies to Poland. Russia is following through on its demands that gas supplies be paid in...

Mon April 25, 2022

FANG valuation metrics starting to look like "value" stocks...

The last two trading days saw stocks fall 5% at lightning speed and with low volumes. The ostensible trigger was bond market's reaction to Fed Powell and ECB Lagarde at...

Fri April 22, 2022

Netflix -70% is 3rd time Netflix has "faced the end" -- consider risk/reward

In our view, one of the biggest market stories this past week is the collapse of Netflix stock following 1Q2022 earnings results. $NFLX is considered a blue-chip media/internet stock (hence,...