Wed March 20

5 reasons we expect stocks to rally post-FOMC (Wed 2pm ET). Technicals positive and hence, still "gas in the tank"

VIDEO: We see 5 reasons stocks rally post-FOMC, even if the Fed sounds cautious on the progress of inflation. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 04:19). https://vimeo....

Fri March 15

Still in a buy the dip regime as still "gas in the tank". Money market cash reaches record $6.1T. Of $1.2T rise in past year, only $234 billion is bank deposit flight.

VIDEO: We are still in a buy the dip regime.  The fact that money market cash again rose to an all-time high is bullish for stocks. Please click below to...

Mon March 11

Probabilities suggest "hot" Feb core CPI above consensus of +0.30%. Jan "hot" CPI drove a 3% sell-off. But with "gas in the tank," this is a buy the dip moment.

VIDEO: February CPI is reported on Tuesday. I think there’s a risk that it’s a hot number, but it’s probably similar to January when you wanted to buy that 3%...

Fri March 8

Defensive sectors starting to gain traction

FRACTIONAL LOSS THIS WEEK REPRESENTS ONLY THE THIRD WEEKLY LOSS OUT OF THE LAST FOUR-AND-ONE-HALF MONTHS FOR SPX AND NASDAQ, WHILE VALUE LINE’S FRIDAY LOSS PREVENTED THIS FROM REACHING NEW...

Wed March 6

Stocks wobble to start the week: too early to say "no gas left in tank." But, this is a maturing rally at 19 weeks and +26% gains.

VIDEO: This is the first time in awhile that stocks fell on "good news" -- yields fell, and stocks down.  We know there is a lot of important macro in...

Fri March 1

Exiting Feb, S&P 500 +7% YTD. Next key decision point is Feb CPI on March 12. Beware of "residual seasonality"

VIDEO: We discuss how the key date is likely March 12, Feb CPI day.  The key is the residual seasonal problem in Jan often spills into Feb Please click below to...

Thu February 15

Lessons from the Past

A daily market update from FS Insight — what you need to know ahead of opening bell “You miss 100% of the shots you don't take.” — Wayne Gretzky OVERNIGHT...

Wed February 14

VIDEO: Macro Minute: Today's bounce shows 1Q24 "top" not yet in, look for sell-off on good news

VIDEO: Our favorite sectors remain $IWM $XLI $XLF $XLK $QQQ and Bitcoin $BTC Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 03:50). https://vimeo. com/913122523/d85916c4b1? share=copy _____________________________ 36 GRANNY SHOT...

Wed February 14

Yesterday was unlikely the 1Q24 market top. Feels more like profit-taking as prices retrace gains of last 4 days. Proper yesterday is "sell off on good news" not a bad CPI report.

VIDEO: Yesterday's 2% selloff is an over-reaction to the hot CPI print.  We also think it is a touch early to call for a top in equity markets for 1Q24....

Tue February 13

INTRADAY ALERT: Equities over-reacting to "hot" Jan CPI. The 1Q24 top will be when "stocks sell off on good news" -- so today is not likely the top.

THIS INTRADAY ALERT IS SENT SOLELY TO CLIENTS OF FS INSIGHT Equites are selling off >1% today ($IWM off >3%) after Jan CPI came in "hot" vs consensus with Core...

Fri February 9

S&P 500 Surpasses 5,000 Threshold, Extends Weekly Win Streak to Five

Good evening, The S&P 500 momentarily broke 5,000 for the first time on Thursday (5,000.40, to be precise) only to fall back slightly at closing bell. Then on Friday, the...

Fri February 9

Case for even STRONGER 2024 emerging. Lunar New Year starts 2/10 and 2024 is Year of the Dragon. Since 1871, S&P 500 up 13% median gain = 5,350. Since 1979, Russell 2000 outperforms 88% of time.

VIDEO: Chinese new year starts 2/10 and 2024 is the year of the Dragon.  Since 1871, equities do particularly well during the Dragon years, gaining 12%.  And small-caps outperform 88%...