Ticker Appearances
Your Weekly Roadmap
Stocks Move Lower To Kick Off May
~ Peter Lynch Good evening: Despite the prevailingly negative sentiment about the market, we entered May with the S&P 500 almost exactly where it was...
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First Word
As regional banks pressures spread, S&P 500 faces headwinds. But look for possible near-term bottom of banks (per Newton). April Jobs and CPI are next 2 key data points.
At the start of the week, I was hopeful that the combination of Fed decision day (5/3) and soft readings on labor (JOLTS, employment report)...
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First Word
Arguably, this coming week most critical to our positive equity 2023 thesis. April ISM might be inflection = tactically favor Industrials $XLI this week. Plus, May FOMC might be last hike of cycle = thesis changing.
This is the most hated 7-month, 20% rally ever. This coming week is arguably the most critical to our positive equity thesis in 2023. The...
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Your Weekly Roadmap
April Closes Higher, S&P 500 Up 9% In 2023
Good evening: Trading is over for April, with the SPX up about 1.46% for the month and the Nasdaq up 0.04%, in line with historical...
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First Word
Equity markets bank into "bunker mode" in front of May FOMC but ATH in unemployment claims for over $200k earners = far softer wage growth ahead. April 2023 rebalance "Granny shots" net -3 (+7, -10).
Reminder, tune in this coming Thursday to an important webinar ___________________________________GRANNY SHOTS APRIL QUARTERLY REBALANCE TODAySEE BELOW FOR ADDS AND DELETES ___________________________________ Equity markets came...
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First Word
We view any equity weakness (possible) post-March CPI as chance to BTD given magnitude of "trapped bears" and softening inflation trends
On the eve of the March CPI report (released on 4/12 at 8:30am ET), few investors have conviction on what to expect from the actual...
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First Word
Setup for stocks favorable for April... inflation cooling = aiding dovish Fed. Rule of 1st 5 days implies S&P 500 >4,275 by end of April.
At the start of 2023, Street consensus was bearish on equities, both sellside and investors. We have written about the unusual bearishness of Street in...
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First Word
Aftershocks part 3: Ripples still widening. Technology borrowing costs now 63bp LOWER than banks and VIX closed below 20 1st time since SVB.
It has been nearly 3 weeks since the sudden failure of SVB and the aftershocks continue. The biggest impact from the banking crisis is the...
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First Word
Even as banking crisis still expanding, FAANG/Tech nearly recovered entire 2022 losses
The scope of the banking crisis continues to edge wider, with additional regional banks seeing pressure by investors (bonds well under par) and over the...
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First Word
Post-March FOMC, Powell cited "tight" (regarding policy/banks) 23 times vs 8 in Feb = Fed reaction function changing. 5 reasons Technology/FAANG and Bitcoin holding up, despite credit/rates turmoil.
Two weeks ago, the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB Financial) triggered the current financial crisis and these aftershocks continue. The severity of the shock...
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Your Weekly Roadmap
Stocks Move Lower To Kick Off May
~ Peter Lynch Good evening: Despite the prevailingly negative sentiment about the market, we entered May with the S&P 500 almost exactly where it was...
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First Word
As regional banks pressures spread, S&P 500 faces headwinds. But look for possible near-term bottom of banks (per Newton). April Jobs and CPI are next 2 key data points.
At the start of the week, I was hopeful that the combination of Fed decision day (5/3) and soft readings on labor (JOLTS, employment report)...
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First Word
Arguably, this coming week most critical to our positive equity 2023 thesis. April ISM might be inflection = tactically favor Industrials $XLI this week. Plus, May FOMC might be last hike of cycle = thesis changing.
This is the most hated 7-month, 20% rally ever. This coming week is arguably the most critical to our positive equity thesis in 2023. The...
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Your Weekly Roadmap
April Closes Higher, S&P 500 Up 9% In 2023
Good evening: Trading is over for April, with the SPX up about 1.46% for the month and the Nasdaq up 0.04%, in line with historical...
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First Word
Equity markets bank into "bunker mode" in front of May FOMC but ATH in unemployment claims for over $200k earners = far softer wage growth ahead. April 2023 rebalance "Granny shots" net -3 (+7, -10).
Reminder, tune in this coming Thursday to an important webinar ___________________________________GRANNY SHOTS APRIL QUARTERLY REBALANCE TODAySEE BELOW FOR ADDS AND DELETES ___________________________________ Equity markets came...
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First Word
We view any equity weakness (possible) post-March CPI as chance to BTD given magnitude of "trapped bears" and softening inflation trends
On the eve of the March CPI report (released on 4/12 at 8:30am ET), few investors have conviction on what to expect from the actual...
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First Word
Setup for stocks favorable for April... inflation cooling = aiding dovish Fed. Rule of 1st 5 days implies S&P 500 >4,275 by end of April.
At the start of 2023, Street consensus was bearish on equities, both sellside and investors. We have written about the unusual bearishness of Street in...
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First Word
Aftershocks part 3: Ripples still widening. Technology borrowing costs now 63bp LOWER than banks and VIX closed below 20 1st time since SVB.
It has been nearly 3 weeks since the sudden failure of SVB and the aftershocks continue. The biggest impact from the banking crisis is the...
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First Word
Even as banking crisis still expanding, FAANG/Tech nearly recovered entire 2022 losses
The scope of the banking crisis continues to edge wider, with additional regional banks seeing pressure by investors (bonds well under par) and over the...
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First Word
Post-March FOMC, Powell cited "tight" (regarding policy/banks) 23 times vs 8 in Feb = Fed reaction function changing. 5 reasons Technology/FAANG and Bitcoin holding up, despite credit/rates turmoil.
Two weeks ago, the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB Financial) triggered the current financial crisis and these aftershocks continue. The severity of the shock...
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