First Word
First Word
Tariff wars: when comparing 2025 to 2018, markets flipped to pessimistic far faster — only weeks in 2025 vs months in 2018
VIDEO: During Trump 1.0, equities bottomed when VIX surged and sentiment flipped negative. Took months in 2018 but only weeks in 2025 Please click below to...
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First Word
Conference Board shows largest ever plunge in stock expectations, which is a contrarian buy signal 3M and 6M forward. Further strengthens case for a V-shaped rally
VIDEO: Conf board shows a plunge in consumer expectations for stock prices, the worst in 40 years and our work shows this is a contrarian...
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First Word
S&P 500 close above 5,703 confirms rally underway. $TSLA remains "Exhibit A" for a V-shaped recovery and why a Trump "put" exists
VIDEO: We discuss several positive technical developments today and why TSLA -3.32% is Exhibit A on whether there is a V-shaped recovery in stocks and of...
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First Word
Over the weekend, tariff war appearing increasingly targeted and a reminder Trump "put" exists. Raises probability of a strong rally in the coming weeks
VIDEO: There were positive developments over the weekend and we now see the increased probability of a sharp rally starting possibly this week Please click...
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First Word
A look back at 2018 suggests that stocks likely rally post-tariff announcement (4/2) driven by likely drop in VIX (volatility)
VIDEO: We look at back at 2018 and we see stocks recovered from tariff news and rallied strongly. One of the fuels in 2025 is...
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First Word
March FOMC shows a dovish Fed and affirms "Fed put" remains in place, 1 of 4 positives this week so far
VIDEO: We discuss 4 incremental positives this week, including signs a tariff deal might be reached before April 2. Please click below to view our Macro...
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