FOMC Lifts Fed Funds By 25 bps, Hawkish Talk From Members Grow, Dot Plot Suggest Six More Hikes This Year

The Fed conducted its long-awaited lift-off and the market appeared largely encouraged by the choreographed nature of it all. Shorty after lift-off, there was a few hawkish comments from Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members that we’ll discuss below, but overall the reaction from the market has been positive and lift-off happened to coincide with one of the most positive weeks for stocks in a year.

The vote for raising the Federal Funds target from a range of 0 to .25 to a range between .25 and .50 was 8 to 1. The only dissent was St. Louis President James Bullard who would have preferred to have made a 50-bps hike.  The committee also announced that it expects its plan for the balance sheet to be ready by May 3-4.  Chairman Powell commented that the labor market was very tight, maybe even problematically so. The very tight job market raises the unwanted specter of a potential wage-price spiral.

Prices are stickier for things like rent and also services where a high proportion of input cost is related to wages. Rents increased at an annualized rate over the last six months which marked the fastest pace since 1986. Despite this, after one of the most anticipated Fed announcements in recent memory, markets closed higher. Growth expectations were down and i...
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