Since 1950, reaching all-time highs after a 20% decline led to 6M gains 11 of 11 times. And 18M sustained gains 7 of 11 times.  Affirming 2024 constructive outlook.  Don't give up on small-caps

The video in this report is only accessible to members
The video in this report is only accessible to members
The video in this report is only accessible to members

VIDEO: We discuss how small-caps remain attractive at 1999 lows.  And on broader markets, reaching an all-time high led to further gains 7 of 11 times.

Please click below to view our Macro Minute (Duration: 5:59).

The video in this report is only accessible to members
The video in this report is only accessible to members

The S&P 500 closed at an all-time high Friday (1/19) bringing its gains to +1.5% YTD. In mid-Dec, we had noted that there was not a single instance where S&P 500 fell 20% and got within 1% of an all-time high and subsequently did not make a new high. The longest it took was 20 days, which is why we called for "new highs in January."

Is it bearish for stocks to make an ATH (after falling 20%)? Of the 11 precedent instances:- 11 of 11 times, equities higher 6M later with a median gain of 8%- 7 of 11 signaled strong gains ahead over next 18 months- so overall, quite positive Investor inflows continued to be negative for a 3rd consecutive week with about $1 billion in outflows, according to data by Goldman Sachs. The outflows were worse for small-caps which are suffering from outflows. Investors have soured on stocks in the first few weeks of 2024, bothered by the rise in interest rates and somewhat hawkish Fed comments. But the case for small-caps in 2024 remains...
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