COVID-19 UPDATE: COVID-19 cases could be rolling over hard and hospitalizations down. Energy 2021 FOMO could be akin to 2020 Tesla FOMO given many institutions ZERO weighting

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STRATEGY: Energy 2021 FOMO akin to 2020 TSLA FOMO could be happening...
It might be too early to call the COVID-19 rollover DECISIVELY happening, but the signs sure seem to be there:

- 7D delta in cases accelerating to downside and -46,499 on Thursday
- net hospitalizations have turned negative and the incremental hospitalization rate is negative for the first time since September
- daily vaccinations hit >900,000 Wednesday and the ratio of vaccinations/cases is >3.5X which is good

So, even as the US in the midst of winter, it seems like COVID-19 case trends have improved considerably.  But the holiday distortions could still be in effect (making 7D delta look better than it should be).  However, hospitalizations turning down is a very good sign.


- down 7D delta is good.  and accelerating!

The video in this report is only accessible to members


Source: COVID-19 Tracking and Fundstrat  


- net hospitalizations turning negative, the first time since Sept!

The video in this report is only accessible to members
Source: COVID Tracking Project and Fundstrat2020 so far, the start of rotation out of FANG into Energy + FinancialsThe S&P 500 is up 1% in the first two weeks in 2021, essentially a flat market....
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