Vaccine “lotteries” appear to be incentivizing vaccinations and are gaining favor in several states. States have been trying to boost vaccine adoption after a recent slow-down. Given that vaccines are being shown to be effective, increasing vaccine penetration boosts the overall immunity of a community. Ohio was the first when they announced their “vax-a-million” on May 13th. And it has been a runaway success. In just the first week, vaccines have increased by 28%! Five other states have joined including California, New York, Maryland, Oregon and Colorado.

There is thankfully good news from India on COVID-19. The imperiled nation is showing demonstrable progress in cases rolling over and they are now down 50% from the peak. This is removing one of the major sources of tail-risk for the global economy; that India and it’s massive economy would again be brought to a standstill by COVID-19. Ten of ten regions in India are now rolling over.

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The latest COVID-19 daily cases came in at 21,241 which was down -6,380 from a week ago. The US continues to see a persistent decline in daily cases that is likely largely due vaccine penetration. The chart below clearly shows the waterfall decline over the past 5 weeks- more specifically compared to 5 weeks ago, the daily cas...

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