State of the race, dock workers, global tensions

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The chart in this report is only accessible to members

The Presidential race remains close.  While polling has become less reliable it does show trends, and the trend remains a very close race for President. 

Former President Trump was in the battleground state of Pennsylvania over the weekend, returning to the spot where he faced his first assassination attempt.  As many have pointed out, the race has changed dramatically since that fateful day in July.  With the withdrawal of President Biden, and the nomination of Vice President Harris the large Trump lead has disappeared, and the race is now a tossup. 

The Harris/Walz ticket is responding to charges of not facing the press by scheduling appearances ranging from Walz on Fox News to the Vice President going on 60 Minutes.  Both sides are focusing on the handful of states that are likely to decide the race.

Voters are reading a wide array of national polls, but the election is not determined by who gets the most votes nationally.  Indeed, in recent years the Democratic candidate gets more total votes but loses the contest.  In 2016 President Trump won 306 Electoral College votes, to 232 for Hillary Clinton.  But Mrs. Clinton won the popular vote by 3 million votes: 62.9 million Trump to 65.8...
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