Tuesday is a big day in the political world with the Georgia Senate race runoff between incumbent Democratic Senator Raphael Warnock and Republican challenger Hershel Walker.  While the strong Democratic showing in the midterm election assured that there wouldn’t be a change of control in the Senate, a Warnock victory on Tuesday would take a lot of pressure off of Democrats as they work to get the President’s programs through the Congress.

As we have seen over the last two years in a Senate tied 50/50 Democratic Senators such as Joe Manchin of West Virginia and Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona play an outsized role when they demand changes to legislation in order to get a bill passed.  With a Democratic win on Tuesday they will lose their deal making leverage with the Senate divided 51/49.

There is another advantage for Democrats if Warnock is re-elected to the Senate: Republican Governors in states with Democratic Senators couldn’t change the Senate majority if there is a death of a Democratic Senator from their state.  There will be seven states with at least one Democratic Senator that has a Republican Governor.  While little has been written about it, in a 50/50 Senate the unexpected departure of a Senator could lead to a change in control if a Democ...

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