Things are so bad, that markets can bottom on bad news

I am a huge Nicholas Cage fan. Some of his earliest movies had an influence in my youth — Peggy Sue Got Married, Moonstruck, Leaving Las Vegas, the Rock, Con-air, etc. Even some of my all-time favorite movies are Nicholas Cage movies like Family Man, or It Could Happen to You. But as with any legend, he has made some movies that have been panned. That is why this story by Inverse.com caught my attention.

  • Nicholas Cage made the WORST sci-fi movie of all time and also his BEST
  • this made me think of the investment environment
  • so bad, it is good
The video in this report is only accessible to members
The video in this report is only accessible to members

4 reasons yesterday is like a bad Nicholas Cage movie

There are 4 reasons we believe the current market environment reminds me of a “bad” Nicholas Cage movie:

GDP 1Q2022 print was -1.4%, below consensus of +1.0% = weaker economy = doing Fed’s work = so bad, it is goodRetail AAII sentiment came in at -43%, 6th worst since 1987 = contrarian buy signal = so bad, it is goodNasdaq underperformed S&P 500 by -11% past 6M, one of 13 worst stretches since 1985 = outperforms S&P 500 77% by 950bp = so bad, it is goodFacebook reported weakening 1Q2022 results but s...

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I am your default error :)