The Delta variant is essentially correctly viewed as "pandemic of the unvaccinated"
For the most part, we continue to view the COVID-19 Delta variant as more "bark than bite" in USA.  Meaning, while there may be short-term hysteria about the surge in USA cases due to Delta variant, we do not think policymakers will "close" the US economy.

- in other words, we think the 2H2021 economic resurgence remains on track

President Biden, Wednesday night at a town hall, called the current resurgence a 'pandemic' of the unvaccinated. We believe this is essentially correct.  Sure, there are breakthrough cases, and breakthrough cases could surge in the USA.  But we do think the severity of healthcare risks are mostly resting on the "unvaccinated" Americans.

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...but the Delta variant is causing a surge in USA hospitalizations, contrasting with UK and IsraelThe UK and Israel are similarly seeing a resurgence in cases, and the USA surge is far weaker, so far, than either UK or Israel (see below section on parabolic analysis).  But this is not the key difference:- UK, hospitalizations barely budging --> Delta "bark no bite"- Israel, hospitalizations barely budging --> Delta "bark no bite"- USA, hospitalizations eh... might be rising --> Delta "more bite, ...

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