DeepSeek related selloff should bring opportunity this week

SPX’s technical trend, breadth, and momentum suffered a sharp 1-day drop following the DeepSeek AI-related selloff, yet given the degree of containment inside Technology, there hasn’t been any serious deterioration to the broader technical structure. Given that indices looked to be in need of some backing and filling after the sharp runup to test all-time highs in SPX last week, Monday’s decline looks important toward providing a better risk/reward framework for those who missed the rally.   Simply put, this pullback was exactly what was needed to help paint a more bullish picture between now and the next couple of months. Equal-weighted SPX has been outperforming over the last couple of weeks, but this looks to prove short-lived and should eventually lead to Technology regaining its footing after dismal performance from AAPL and NVDA. Meanwhile, both US Dollar and TNX look to be starting more serious pullbacks, and could translate into gains for US Equities if recent positive correlation trends between US Treasuries and Equities continue. 

Quite a few short-term warning signs were apparent last week, and some of the abnormal disparities between SPX, QQQ, and the broader market were observed. While market breadth had expanded sharply from 1/13 lows, the last week proved to be more difficult for various Technology components.

Additionally, many broader-based US indices had failed to reach new all-time highs and had only retraced 62% of the prior decline from December. 

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