First Word
4 reasons case for Thanksgiving rally (to 11/29) intact, fueled by Trump "put" and Fed "put." Treasury Sec pick possible near-term catalyst
VIDEO: Conditions for a Thanksgiving rally to S&P 500 6,100 remain intact. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 4:03). Equities have...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: 4 reasons case for Thanksgiving rally (to 11/29) intact, fueled by Trump “put” and Fed “put.” Treasury Sec pick possible near-term catalyst
VIDEO: Conditions for a Thanksgiving rally to S&P 500 6,100 remain intact. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 4:03). _____________________________ 42...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: White House "put" + Fed "put" are reasons to expect Thanksgiving rally
VIDEO: We discuss that a Trump "put" is in place supporting markets over the next 4 years. Thus, while markets might get rattled by delays...
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First Word
Probabilities favor a rally into Thanksgiving, as markets bounce off support and several uncertainties clear.
VIDEO: This weekend tweet by Elon Musk highlights that X. com will likely play a prominent role in the next 4 years. Also, Probabilities favor a rally...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Probabilities favor a rally into Thanksgiving, as markets bounce off support and several uncertainties clear.
VIDEO: This weekend tweet by Elon Musk highlights that X. com will likely play a prominent role in the next 4 years. Also, Probabilities favor a rally...
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First Word
Is market "hawkishness" nearing a local top? Oct retail sales possible dovish turning point.
VIDEO: We wonder if markets are pricing in a local peak in "inflation hawkishness" and Friday's retail sales could reverse that. That would be dovish, which...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Is market “hawkishness” nearing a local top? Oct retail sales possible dovish turning point.
VIDEO: We wonder if markets are pricing in a local peak in "inflation hawkishness" and Friday's retail sales could reverse that. That would be dovish, which...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Oct CPI internals better than headlines, suggesting inflation still falling "like a rock" and Polymarket shows 32% odds Bitcoin becomes US Treasury reserve asset
VIDEO: We discuss how the internals of the October CPI were better than the headlines. Additionally, Bitcoin has been the strongest asset performer since election...
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Intraday Alert
Oct Core CPI +0.28% MoM distorted by 30% rise in used car prices (ummm...no way). Sets stage for inflation to "fall like a rock" rest of year
The Oct CPI report is better than appears at first glance. And we think this is supportive of stocks continuing to rally into year-end, albeit...
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First Word
A "hot" Oct Core CPI might trigger hawks and Fed pause talk... but instead, focus on positive dynamics into Year-end
VIDEO: Oct CPI released Wed is the most important macroeconomic data point this week. There is a possibility used car prices pressure higher Oct CPI,...
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