2023 Mid-Year: Raising S&P 500 YE Target to 4,825 from 4,750, implies at least +8% in 2H (maybe more). P/E ex-FAANG is only 0.7X higher to 16.4X, hardly demanding.

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Today's note will include a short video update. Please click to view. We discussed why we raise our YE target from 4,750 to 4,825 (implied +8% in 2H). The rise in stock prices over the past 9 months is the start of a new bull market. This new bull market will be driven by AI advancements and the Fed's successful efforts in curbing inflation. (Duration: 6:47).

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NOTE: Click HERE to view our 2023 mid-year outlook presentation.

The S&P 500 is up +16% by mid-year and the Nasdaq posted its best ever first half gaining +38%. In our view, the stock market bottomed October 12, 2022 and the rise over the past 9 months is the start of a new bull market. I know this sounds counterintuitive since we had no "recession" nor "Fed cutting rates." But we have had a huge decline in inflation, and as we argued for most of 2022, the inflation war is the war the Fed is waging and seemingly winning.

We are raising our year-end target for S&P...
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