June FOMC is a reminder key story arc is "inflation war" not hard landing. 10 "fresh money" ideas to leverage expanding market breadth.

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The video in this report is only accessible to members
The video in this report is only accessible to members
The video in this report is only accessible to members

Today, I was speaking with the Director of Research of a major hedge fund (based in CT) and this person told me of their frustration of missing most of the 15% gain in equities YTD. In their view, they view the rise as almost entirely attributable to the market liquidity, as their business cycle indicators told them stocks should be down big in 2023.

This is a widely held view. I mentioned that I believe the key story arc is the Fed is fighting an inflation war. Thus, this is not a classic Fed cycle where the Fed only pivots when something breaks. In this inflation war, the Fed can stop when inflation has "broken enough." It might surprise many but Volcker ended the inflation war on Oct 5, 1982 (first ever utterance of ending the war, which he made in a speech). Here are the inflation stats on Oct 1982 (Sept):- Headline CPI 3.7% YoY- Core CPI 4.5% YoY See the point? The Fed can end this inflation war, aka pivot, when the collective public believes inflation is broken. I...

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