Homebuilders "golden 6 months" starts October 20th --> worked 10 of last 12 years --> case stronger in 2021. 10 stocks

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STRATEGY: Homebuilders "golden 6 months" starts October 20th --> worked 10 of the last 12 years --> case stronger in 2021

Could US cases fall to 50,000 before the end of October?
Daily case trends for COVID-19 remain promising.  There has been a sustained decline in cases and the arrival of booster shots, along with growing natural immunity means COVID-19 has fewer new victims.  In fact, as we discuss below, there is growing evidence that those previously infected and then getting vaccinated, have a super immunity -- aka hybrid immunity.

- Daily cases 7D average is current ~85,000
- Down from 150,000 in late August

- Will this fall to under 50,000 by the end of October?
- Maybe. 

- We are watching the Northeast closely
- We are also watching positivity rate

These will be important factors.

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Fortunately, there are no signs yet, of an upturn in cases stemming from the arrival of colder weather.  As shown below, the USA overall positivity rate is still sinking.  It now stands at 5.1% and is falling.  This has been declining steadily and an upturn here would be something we are watching for.

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