COVID-19 UPDATE: Michigan COVID-19 hospitalizations could surge to new highs in coming weeks. S&P 500 gains YTD explained by +6.4% revisions to 2021 EPS by Street

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STRATEGY: S&P 500 gains YTD explained by +6.4% revisions to 2021 EPS by Street
For the most part, US COVID-19 trends have been stable. Below is the 7D delta chart and while it has been choppy, the trend in cases is not necessarily accelerating to the upside. But the overall US state figures are masking the bifurcating trends in the US. The rise in cases is really attributable to 5 states:

- MI
- ME
- MD
- MN
- VT

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Source: Fundstrat and US state healthcare websites

Take a look for yourself at the 50 states here (slide from our chartbook) and you can see the rise in these 5 states versus their own timeline. There are other states seeing increases, but hardly of this magnitude.

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Is there a common thread to explain this? I am not entirely clear. And of these states, MI seems to be experiencing the worst of the surges. Gov Whitmer has attempted multiple explanations for this from "mutations" to "vulnerability of population" due to low prior exposure. But the reasons are not entirely clear to me: - the state's daily cases could make a new all-time high and the 7D avg seems to be there- currently hospit...

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