COVID-19 UPDATE: COVID-19 cases rising linearly, not exponentially --> tentatively a good thing. The more we churn, the greater the post-election rally.

Click HERE to access the FSInsight COVID-19 Daily Chartbook.

HEADS UP: There will be no updates Friday and no updates next Monday. I will be getting surgery to repair my ACL on 10/22 and will be recovering on those dates. STRATEGY: Markets implying fiscal deal a "binary event" but it is "when not if"The more we churn, the larger the post-election rally...One of the top market rules for me, maybe even "rule #1," is never to try to impose my views on the markets.  And it is perhaps more useful to try to decipher the message from market behavior (sadly, stocks can choose to speak any language it chooses... lol).  And if I had to describe equities over the past three days, it seems to be treating fiscal stimulus as a binary event.  If it doesn't happen this week, it is badIf it happens this week, it is goodFor the millions of Americans with benefits expiring, this is truly critical.  Those who need this next installment of payments are those who are relying on the US for the safety net. So the social implications are sizable.But if a deal doesn't come together this week (possible and House Speaker Pelosi is optimistic), a deal will happen before year end.  So while there are high stakes from a social net perspective, there should be less at ...

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