COVID-19 UPDATE: 5 regions in NY state open up in Phase I -- not NYC, but progress still. There is actually a lot more "certainty" than we realize. Europe re-openings (some 30D ago) have not led to second waves.

COVID-19 remains a global crisis and we realize that many people need to keep up with COVID-19 developments, particularly since we are moving into the more critical stage ("restart economy"), so feel free to share our commentary to anyone who has interest.It looks like the day is finally here for NY state.  Gov. Cuomo confirmed that 5 (of 8 regions) of the state meet the 7 (of 7) criteria needed to move to Phase One, this Friday 5/15.  The opening includes manufacturing, agriculture, hunting/forestry, many parts of retail.  It is comprehensive (discussed below) but NYC/Long Island and Western NY are not among those opening.The most obvious reality regarding COVID-19 is that nearly everyone would agree there is a lot of uncertainty.  There is no playbook for a pandemic.  And 10-yr histories, 20-year and even 50-yr datasets are not useful, because they encompass exactly ZERO similar episodes. And because of this, most investors say there is too much uncertainty.  If I had to highlight the two biggest uncertainties, it is:- Path of the COVID-19 healthcare crisis --> When will it end? When is the vaccine/cure coming? Will there be a second wave in the Fall?- Economic resilience --> Will consumers ever return to a restaurant, movie or concert? How ...

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