COVID-19 UPDATE: White House raising deaths >100k. Data from 10 states (~50% US), nursing homes 0.4% pops, but 18% cases (44X) and 42% deaths (102X)

The White House has steadily raised the forecasts for COVID-19 deaths and this week, President Trump warned >100,000 deaths are likely compared to what looked like 65,000 a few weeks ago.  Part of this can be attributed to states opening up their economies and thus, naturally making a trade-off between economic hardship and pandemic hardship.  And part of it is better tracking by states.  The CDC released some data comparing reported US deaths in 2020 (2/1-4/25/2020) vs what w...

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