4 reasons to view FAANG outperformance at end of April with credence. Market inverting and faster growers = lowest valuations...wut?

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Monday is the first trading day for May. 2022 has been an utter beatdown, so far. The S&P 500 is down 14% YTD. But what makes 2022 more painful is that we have seen already 2 major drawdowns of >10% in just the first 4 months.

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In fact, as noted by Ryan Detrick, Strategist at LPL, 2022 is the worst Jan to April start for the S&P 500 since 1939. Because the S&P 500 index was not launched until 1945, this is actually the worst YTD start for the S&P 500 ever.

  • so it is no surprise that investors are dejected
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...May FOMC this week 5/3 to 5/4 and markets will be on edge

The Fed May FOMC meeting is this week and markets are anticipating 50bp hike and forward guidance is expected to skew hawkish (ie, 50bp for June) as the Fed is moving to lift rates to Neutral. The speed of this process has unnerved markets and given the tumult in Ukraine-Russia plus China, and this has contributed collectively to a buyer's strike for stocks. But this doesn't mean stocks have to go down. In fact, as JPMorgan's Marko notes, starting month dynamics (rebalance) plus ga...

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