COVID-19 UPDATE: Daily cases COLLAPSE to 32,323, -9,500 vs 7D ago and -10,000 vs 1D ago. Back to school headwinds

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STRATEGY: Equity markets pushing against new highs...
There are two areas where we could see significant developments.  The first is the trend in US cases which collapsed to 32,132 (ex-TX reporting ~5,000 backlog cases) on Monday.  The other is the progress on the fiscal package, aka CARES 4 relief bill.  Passage of a bill by Washington is needed and critical, and we expect markets to find cheer if we see progress this week.

- Daily cases are falling throughout the US;
- The epicenter, FL, CA, AZ, TX, or F-CAT, is well past peak;  
- AZ down 90% vs peak;
- TX down 80% vs peak;
- FL down 75% vs peak;
- even CA, with polluted data is down 45% off its peak

The video in this report is only accessible to members


Source: COVID-19 Tracking Project and Fundstrat


It also looks like the distortion from CA >300,000 test backlog is behind us. CA Governor Newsom yesterday suggested the backlog is done (see below), and as such, we can look at the data this week as "clean."

The video in this report is only accessible to members
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uvkkZZELTooAnd our Head of Policy Strategy, Tom Block, believes a deal with Washington is not necessarily as difficult to get done.  He believes there is quite a lot of common ground (see below).  But he also wonders if the Democrats are "o...

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