COVID-19 UPDATE. Italy could re-start 5/3 ("posited") and 7 EU countries to open 2-3 weeks. High-yield recovered 76% of losses --> equates to S&P 500 3,110 equivalent. Thus, the pullback in equities likely shallow

COVID-19 remains a global crisis and we realize that many people need to keep up with COVID-19 developments, particularly since we are moving into the more critical stage ("restart economy"), so feel free to share our commentary to anyone who has interest.It has been a rough start with the S&P 500 down 5% in the first two trading days.  Given the 28% rise in stocks in the past 3 weeks, a pullback is hardly surprising.  The collapse in oil, along with weak earnings, is also raising the possibility that "the bear market rally" is done and now stocks will fall as the "real bad news hits." Our Head of Technical Strategy, Rob Sluymer, believes a "correction" is underway as equities simply need to "work off" this significantly overbought condition resulting from this vertical rally.  A typical correction would take us towards 2,600 (~200-week DMA) or 100 points down from here.   We realize that many "uncertain" investors (uncertain is the same as bearish from a positioning perspective) will become negative.  But we believe the S&P 500 will likely have a shallow pullback and not make a new low.  One of the things we highlight at the end of this note is the impressive rebound in high-yield (recovery vs highs, and inflows and even issuance).  And if high-yield remains rel...

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