COVID-19 UPDATE: US COVID-19 cases tracking for sub-40,000 this week while 5 states show evidence of "herd immunity". Global Strategist Rauscher upgrades Energy to OW, supporting fundamental EPS revisions underway

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STRATEGY: Equities post largest 1D % gain since Nov election, while VIX falls + bonds rally = boom
US daily cases are falling again and on track for sub-40,000 this week... yay

It looks like the downturn in US COVID-19 cases is resuming.  There was a mini-scare last week as cases turned up, but our lead data scientist, tireless Ken, noted that the cold weather likely artificially suppressed testing and the surge last week was merely a "true up" -- looks like he was correct.  The downturn in cases resumes.

- tracking for sub 40,000 this week
- tracking for sub 25,000 mid-March
- if USA matches 5 states with something akin to "herd immunity" cases <15,000 by end of March

Whoa.


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Source: COVID-19 Tracking Project  and FundstratWatch those states with >60% combined infections + vaccinations...For some time, we have pointed how important it is to watch states with combined vaccinations + infections >60%.  For a long time, it was just North Dakota and South Dakota.  The reason being that if there is something akin to herd immunity, the case trends in these states should become extremely favorable.P...

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