COVID-19 UPDATE: Daily cases broke the 42-day trend (downwards), 4 possible reasons. Key, Interest volatility surged in a way not seen since March 19, 2020...

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STRATEGY: Interest volatility surged in a way not seen since March 19, 2020...wut?Progress on COVID-19 daily case trends has stalled in the last 3 days... not entirely clear whyBelow is a summary of current COVID-19 case trends, as we end this fourth week in February.    Current Trends -- COVID-19 cases: - Daily cases    68,793 vs 63,311 7D ago, up +5,482- 7D positivity rate   5.5% vs 6.0% 7D ago- Hospitalized patients   52,669, down -16% vs 7D ago- Daily deaths    2,106, up +6.8% vs 7D agoIt seems like daily cases have turned up in the past 3 days (vs 7D  ago).  This is after 42 consecutive days of improvements.  Foremost, we are curious why this is happening, and a few thoughts have come to mind:- some schools in the US were on Spring break, so did travel lead to more cross-interaction?- are the more transmissible variants gaining ground?- weather has been quite volatile, did this impact immune systems?- were disruptions last week leading to "delays in reporting" so we are just seeing a true-up?See, there are multiple reasons to explain why cases...
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