STRATEGY: Energy Sector (GICS 1) is now up 32% YTD
I am sending this intraday comment as I think it is becoming urgent for our clients to have some Energy exposure.  While the sector is puny (~2% S&P 500 weight), the rise in the sector YTD is now potentially creating performance issues, for those underweight Energy.

- YTD Energy is up 32%
- beating any other sector by a country mile

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Source: tireless Ken of Fundstrat and Bloomberg


Energy is a misunderstood sector, and in the coming week,  I will write a complete narrative on why the sector has a central role in the coming economic recovery.  It is a lot more than just simply "people get on planes and drive on vacation"


Oilfield services (ETF OIH as a proxy) is ridiculously cheap vs oil price now
But there is also a comparative price gap between oil at $60 and where Energy equities trade.  Take a look at the comparative price of oil vs oilfield services stock (OIH ETF as a proxy), using data since 2009.

- at $60 oil, OIH should be $530
- it is about $200 now
- at $80 oil, which is possible, OIH should be $720

So you see, monster upside.

I recommend at least taking a small market-weight position, but obviously, since Energy is one of our Top 3 sectors for 2021, we recommend a much larger overweight.

The video in this report is only accessible to members
The video in this report is only accessible to members
The video in this report is only accessible to members
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