I will be on vacation from 1/17 to 1/25, a late Christmas vacation

– we will still publish our COVID-19 daily commentary (thanks tireless Ken)
– market commentary will resume 1/26

POINT 1: Daily COVID-19 cases 644,557, down -138,122 vs 7D ago…

Current Trends — COVID-19 cases:

  • Daily cases   644,557 vs 782,679 7D ago, down -138,122
  • 7D positivity rate  27.9% vs 28.2% 7D ago
  • Hospitalized patients   151,481, up +3.1% vs 7D ago
  • Daily deaths  1,963,   up 9.6% vs 7D ago

The latest COVID daily cases came in at 644,557, down -138,122 vs. 7D ago. Although some states are still facing case rise, the overall US case trend has rolled over. This is confirmed by the 7D average of 7D delta in daily cases – the decline in 7D delta in daily cases persists and the negative 7D delta confirmed that the daily cases in US are falling now. In fact, NY, NJ, and CT, the first states hit by the Omicron variant, have seen largest decline in daily cases – daily cases in all 3 states have fallen > 50% from their recent Omicron peaks (see our state tracker below).

More importantly, what is happening in NY, NJ and CT is consistent with what we have observed in South Africa and UK, where the case decline was as fast as the case rise. Therefore,...

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