Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. ($HLT: $142.00): Success Is Never Final, Failure Is Never Fatal

Key Takeaways

Hilton World Wide Holdings has been a widely recognized Wall Street favorite because of its asset-light model, network effects/loyalty program, strong brand and geographic revenue mix. We think Wall Street is right in this case.The company does indeed trade at a premium compared to some peers, but we think the track record of a capable management, the return of pent-up demand to travel, and the return to 2019 levels (and probably beyond) for key metrics like RevPAR suggest this stock can still run.The postponing of travel because of a persistently adverse health situation around the Delta variant suggest a return to pre-crisis growth rates or beyond in EPS when demand booms. Hilton’s franchise fee structure is also more appealing than peers more dependent on management fees.Sometimes the market puts a valuation premium on companies with better prospects than its peers and we think that is the case here. Hilton’s fee based model mixed with a premier global brand, huge rewards program (125 million), and pent up demand should be quite lucrative.The article is titled based on a quote from company founder and namesake, Conrad Hilton. The survivability despite nearly zero revenue and ability to cut costs and continue growing available rooms faster than peers shows...

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