Fri May 5, 2023

Stocks Move Lower To Kick Off May

~ Peter Lynch Good evening: Despite the prevailingly negative sentiment about the market, we entered May with the S&P 500 almost exactly where it was one year ago: it closed...

Fri May 5, 2023

As regional banks pressures spread, S&P 500 faces headwinds. But look for possible near-term bottom of banks (per Newton). April Jobs and CPI are next 2 key data points.

At the start of the week, I was hopeful that the combination of Fed decision day (5/3) and soft readings on labor (JOLTS, employment report) would cause markets to constructively...

Wed May 3, 2023

MAKE OR BREAK WEEK: JOLTS show the "bro"-cession becoming more visible in data and possibly April jobs (this Fri). Despite market weakness past few days, risk/reward positive on Fed "dovish" +25bp hike.

The S&P 500 closed a year ago (4/30/22) at 4,132 and closed April 2023 at 4,169. Yes, the S&P 500 is exactly flat with where it was one year ago....

Mon March 27, 2023

Even as banking crisis still expanding, FAANG/Tech nearly recovered entire 2022 losses

The scope of the banking crisis continues to edge wider, with additional regional banks seeing pressure by investors (bonds well under par) and over the weekend, a Bloomberg article noted...

Fri March 24, 2023

Post-March FOMC, Powell cited "tight" (regarding policy/banks) 23 times vs 8 in Feb = Fed reaction function changing. 5 reasons Technology/FAANG and Bitcoin holding up, despite credit/rates turmoil.

Two weeks ago, the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB Financial) triggered the current financial crisis and these aftershocks continue. The severity of the shock is far more evident in...

Wed March 15, 2023

SVB informs clients "back to business" yet carnage in FRC bonds, CITI+CS CDS (blowout) and KRE banks down 20% = Monetary Policy is finally "biting" = Fed can take foot off the gas. Ex-FAANG, S&P 500 P/E 14.3X ('24E), not demanding.

On Monday evening, the new CEO of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) sent an email to clients informing them SVB "is open and conducting business as usual." I mean anyone would...

Fri April 9, 2021

Epicenter – Stocks with Uncommon Value During Uncommon Times

This list was published in the FIRST WORD dated April 9, 2020. We’ve republished it here in order to highlight it for our valued subscribers. _STRATEGY: UPDATING EPICENTER TRIFECTA LIST  – 24...