SVB informs clients "back to business" yet carnage in FRC bonds, CITI+CS CDS (blowout) and KRE banks down 20% = Monetary Policy is finally "biting" = Fed can take foot off the gas. Ex-FAANG, S&P 500 P/E 14.3X ('24E), not demanding.

Monetary Policy is finally "biting" = Fed can take foot off the gas

On Monday evening, the new CEO of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) sent an email to clients informing them SVB "is open and conducting business as usual." I mean anyone would be surprised given that SVB (formerly $SIVB) just collapsed the Friday prior (3/10) after a bank run and a worrying weekend for bank clients (nationwide) about the safety of deposits.

SVB is now operating under receivership as a "bridge bank" until the assets are sold/resolveda widely circulated memo signed by 14 venture capital firms urged their respective portfolio companies to resume business relations with SVB. (Missing are the 3 firms which triggered the bank run last week, Founders Fund, USV and Coatue Capital).It is almost as if VCs and SVB want a "do-over" and to resume operations as if the crisis had never happened at all.Unfortunately, for the equity markets, there are signs of lingering carnage and these "smoking ruins" are why we believe the Fed will move cautiously into the March FOMC meeting next week (3/22).First, Moody's on Tuesday announced cut the outlook for US banking system to negative and S&P put many regional banks on negative watch. Rating agencies often come in after the crisis to downgrade credits, so this...

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