Ticker Appearances
First Word
Flat equities after "hot" Nov jobs report shows stocks proving more resilient than consensus expects... why is S&P 500 drawdown worse than Germany, China or Japan? Still see rally into YE towards 4,400-4,500
The strong November jobs report (on 12/2) of +263k vs 200k consensus (plus strong wage growth) gave markets every excuse to sell off sharply:Strong jobs...
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Your Weekly Roadmap
Amidst a Backdrop of Other Developments, Powell’s Comments Spark a Good Week for Equities
Ordinarily, many investors would have been focused on the retail sector this week. If we consider Thanksgiving to be the official beginning to the holiday...
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First Word
The inflation crisis of 2022 made investors focus solely on danger, not opportunity. Powell signaling time to look at latter. YE rally to be fueled by Tech + Small-caps + High P/E + Heavily Shorted
I am on my way to Tokyo/Osaka for a few days, traveling with SMBC Nikko, which is our business partner in Japan. Japan is one...
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Your Weekly Roadmap
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Signal From Noise
Harley-Davidson's ($HOG) Earnings Blowout Shows Company Is On Right Track
Few companies could be a better poster-child for why many institutional investors hate what we like to call Epicenter stocks then the quintessential but also...
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First Word
COVID-19 UPDATE: Israel daily cases (per 1mm) now 26 vs 952 (Jan). ND and SD could see "obliteration" by June. Oil prices key to direction of Epicenter trade...
The lag between penetration of vaccines and cases falling is due to a few factors including the fact that vaccines take time to become effective. ...
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First Word
COVID-19 UPDATE: Multiple reasons J&J vaccine "pause" not a recovery setback. Epicenter stocks significantly underperformed since mid-March, but EPS revisions = good and Technicals, while damaged, are still positive
3 Deletions: PBCT, NVT 1.21% , VNO 8.79% 13 Additions: AZO 1.83% , HOG 4.21% , GRMN 5.67% , MGM -0.15% , WH 0.10% , GPS, LB 9.33% , VIRT 2.00% , AGCO 1.12% , OC -0.77% , UBER -1.59% . EXP 1.05% , NUE -2.96% 35 "POWER TRIFECTA" STOCKS IDEAS:...
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First Word
COVID-19 UPDATE: Global cases within 8% of all-time highs, even as USA down 80%. Energy down 8 of the last 10 days, in past 20 years >8 of last 10 days point to strong 3M gains
But as the global case count below shows, COVID-19 is still spreading wildly and prolifically across the World. In fact, the 7-day avg cases of...
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First Word
COVID-19 UPDATE: Michigan COVID-19 hospitalizations could surge to new highs in coming weeks. S&P 500 gains YTD explained by +6.4% revisions to 2021 EPS by Street
Is there a common thread to explain this? I am not entirely clear. And of these states, MI seems to be experiencing the worst of...
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Your Weekly Roadmap
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First Word
Flat equities after "hot" Nov jobs report shows stocks proving more resilient than consensus expects... why is S&P 500 drawdown worse than Germany, China or Japan? Still see rally into YE towards 4,400-4,500
The strong November jobs report (on 12/2) of +263k vs 200k consensus (plus strong wage growth) gave markets every excuse to sell off sharply:Strong jobs...
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Your Weekly Roadmap
Amidst a Backdrop of Other Developments, Powell’s Comments Spark a Good Week for Equities
Ordinarily, many investors would have been focused on the retail sector this week. If we consider Thanksgiving to be the official beginning to the holiday...
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First Word
The inflation crisis of 2022 made investors focus solely on danger, not opportunity. Powell signaling time to look at latter. YE rally to be fueled by Tech + Small-caps + High P/E + Heavily Shorted
I am on my way to Tokyo/Osaka for a few days, traveling with SMBC Nikko, which is our business partner in Japan. Japan is one...
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Your Weekly Roadmap
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Signal From Noise
Harley-Davidson's ($HOG) Earnings Blowout Shows Company Is On Right Track
Few companies could be a better poster-child for why many institutional investors hate what we like to call Epicenter stocks then the quintessential but also...
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First Word
COVID-19 UPDATE: Israel daily cases (per 1mm) now 26 vs 952 (Jan). ND and SD could see "obliteration" by June. Oil prices key to direction of Epicenter trade...
The lag between penetration of vaccines and cases falling is due to a few factors including the fact that vaccines take time to become effective. ...
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First Word
COVID-19 UPDATE: Multiple reasons J&J vaccine "pause" not a recovery setback. Epicenter stocks significantly underperformed since mid-March, but EPS revisions = good and Technicals, while damaged, are still positive
3 Deletions: PBCT, NVT 1.21% , VNO 8.79% 13 Additions: AZO 1.83% , HOG 4.21% , GRMN 5.67% , MGM -0.15% , WH 0.10% , GPS, LB 9.33% , VIRT 2.00% , AGCO 1.12% , OC -0.77% , UBER -1.59% . EXP 1.05% , NUE -2.96% 35 "POWER TRIFECTA" STOCKS IDEAS:...
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First Word
COVID-19 UPDATE: Global cases within 8% of all-time highs, even as USA down 80%. Energy down 8 of the last 10 days, in past 20 years >8 of last 10 days point to strong 3M gains
But as the global case count below shows, COVID-19 is still spreading wildly and prolifically across the World. In fact, the 7-day avg cases of...
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First Word
COVID-19 UPDATE: Michigan COVID-19 hospitalizations could surge to new highs in coming weeks. S&P 500 gains YTD explained by +6.4% revisions to 2021 EPS by Street
Is there a common thread to explain this? I am not entirely clear. And of these states, MI seems to be experiencing the worst of...
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Your Weekly Roadmap
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