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First Word
May Super Granny and Super SMID Granny Market Update + SMID Granny May Rebalance +11 adds/ -11 deletes.
TO DOWNLOAD THE SLIDE DECK FOR OUR MARKET UPDATE WEBINAR, PLEASE CLICK HERE. VIDEO: Stocks are 3% from all-time highs, yet this is one of...
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First Word
November Top Stock Ideas and Super SMID Granny Market Update + SMID Granny November Rebalance +27 adds/ -25 deletes.
TO DOWNLOAD THE SLIDE DECK FOR OUR MARKET UPDATE WEBINAR, PLEASE CLICK HERE. INVESTMENT IDEAS: TOP LARGE-CAP STOCK PICKS + SUPER SMID GRANNIES As we...
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First Word
Sept jobs report - upside vs 150k consensus better. Watch the VIX to sense when Oct "iffy" period ending.
VIDEO: We are watching the VIX to get a sense when the "iffy Oct" period might end, both VIX falling below 17 and VIX term...
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First Word
October off to "iffy" start and headwinds emerge, but structural tailwinds stronger. We ultimately expect investors to "buy the dip" but watch the VIX term structure.
VIDEO: Already headwinds are emerging for October, but we believe the existing tailwinds are stronger and ultimately investors will buy this dip. Please click below...
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First Word
Important macro week ahead and ultimately supportive of dovish Fed. We continue to see higher upside for small-caps into YE.
VIDEO: A very heavy macro week ahead including ISM, JOLTS, VP debates, Fed speeches, and jobs report. All of this we expect to be dovish...
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First Word
19 SMID Granny Shots + 9 Large-caps levered to China recovery. 3 reasons to "respect the upside breakout" in China equities.
VIDEO: We discuss the 19 SMID Granny Shots and 9 large-cap stocks highly correlated to a recovery in China equities and economy. Please click below...
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First Word
GRANNY SHOTS: Jul 2024 rebalance +8 adds/-10 deletes. SMID Granny Shots +23 adds/-25 deletes. July Super and Sleeper Grannies. WEBINAR WED!!!
TO DOWNLOAD THE SLIDE DECK FOR OUR GRANNY SHOTS WEBINAR, PLEASE CLICK HERE. _GRANNY SHOTS: JULY 2024 REBALANCE_ This note is focused on the quarterly...
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First Word
GRANNY SHOTS: May 2024 Super Granny update
On Tuesday, 5/21, we hold our monthly webinar on the Top 5 “Super” and Bottom 5 “Sleeper" ideas within our Large Cap Granny Shot and...
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First Word
5 takeaways from earnings season and why muted reaction to beats is not "late cycle" signal.
VIDEO: The muted reaction to positive EPS, in our view, reflects the cautious macro views (uncertainty) given the stubborn inflation reports. 1Q24 EPS seems more...
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Daily Technical Strategy
Granny Shot Technicals
SUPER GRANNIES: NVDA - BULLISH NVDA -3.77% ’s consolidation in recent weeks hasn’t resulted in any material technical damage and the stock lies just off all-time highs near...
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First Word
May Super Granny and Super SMID Granny Market Update + SMID Granny May Rebalance +11 adds/ -11 deletes.
TO DOWNLOAD THE SLIDE DECK FOR OUR MARKET UPDATE WEBINAR, PLEASE CLICK HERE. VIDEO: Stocks are 3% from all-time highs, yet this is one of...
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First Word
November Top Stock Ideas and Super SMID Granny Market Update + SMID Granny November Rebalance +27 adds/ -25 deletes.
TO DOWNLOAD THE SLIDE DECK FOR OUR MARKET UPDATE WEBINAR, PLEASE CLICK HERE. INVESTMENT IDEAS: TOP LARGE-CAP STOCK PICKS + SUPER SMID GRANNIES As we...
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First Word
Sept jobs report - upside vs 150k consensus better. Watch the VIX to sense when Oct "iffy" period ending.
VIDEO: We are watching the VIX to get a sense when the "iffy Oct" period might end, both VIX falling below 17 and VIX term...
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First Word
October off to "iffy" start and headwinds emerge, but structural tailwinds stronger. We ultimately expect investors to "buy the dip" but watch the VIX term structure.
VIDEO: Already headwinds are emerging for October, but we believe the existing tailwinds are stronger and ultimately investors will buy this dip. Please click below...
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First Word
Important macro week ahead and ultimately supportive of dovish Fed. We continue to see higher upside for small-caps into YE.
VIDEO: A very heavy macro week ahead including ISM, JOLTS, VP debates, Fed speeches, and jobs report. All of this we expect to be dovish...
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First Word
19 SMID Granny Shots + 9 Large-caps levered to China recovery. 3 reasons to "respect the upside breakout" in China equities.
VIDEO: We discuss the 19 SMID Granny Shots and 9 large-cap stocks highly correlated to a recovery in China equities and economy. Please click below...
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First Word
GRANNY SHOTS: Jul 2024 rebalance +8 adds/-10 deletes. SMID Granny Shots +23 adds/-25 deletes. July Super and Sleeper Grannies. WEBINAR WED!!!
TO DOWNLOAD THE SLIDE DECK FOR OUR GRANNY SHOTS WEBINAR, PLEASE CLICK HERE. _GRANNY SHOTS: JULY 2024 REBALANCE_ This note is focused on the quarterly...
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First Word
GRANNY SHOTS: May 2024 Super Granny update
On Tuesday, 5/21, we hold our monthly webinar on the Top 5 “Super” and Bottom 5 “Sleeper" ideas within our Large Cap Granny Shot and...
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First Word
5 takeaways from earnings season and why muted reaction to beats is not "late cycle" signal.
VIDEO: The muted reaction to positive EPS, in our view, reflects the cautious macro views (uncertainty) given the stubborn inflation reports. 1Q24 EPS seems more...
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Daily Technical Strategy
Granny Shot Technicals
SUPER GRANNIES: NVDA - BULLISH NVDA -3.77% ’s consolidation in recent weeks hasn’t resulted in any material technical damage and the stock lies just off all-time highs near...
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First Word
May Super Granny and Super SMID Granny Market Update + SMID Granny May Rebalance +11 adds/ -11 deletes.
TO DOWNLOAD THE SLIDE DECK FOR OUR MARKET UPDATE WEBINAR, PLEASE CLICK HERE. VIDEO: Stocks are 3% from all-time highs, yet this is one of...
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First Word
Sept jobs report - upside vs 150k consensus better. Watch the VIX to sense when Oct "iffy" period ending.
VIDEO: We are watching the VIX to get a sense when the "iffy Oct" period might end, both VIX falling below 17 and VIX term...
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First Word
October off to "iffy" start and headwinds emerge, but structural tailwinds stronger. We ultimately expect investors to "buy the dip" but watch the VIX term structure.
VIDEO: Already headwinds are emerging for October, but we believe the existing tailwinds are stronger and ultimately investors will buy this dip. Please click below...
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First Word
Important macro week ahead and ultimately supportive of dovish Fed. We continue to see higher upside for small-caps into YE.
VIDEO: A very heavy macro week ahead including ISM, JOLTS, VP debates, Fed speeches, and jobs report. All of this we expect to be dovish...
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First Word
19 SMID Granny Shots + 9 Large-caps levered to China recovery. 3 reasons to "respect the upside breakout" in China equities.
VIDEO: We discuss the 19 SMID Granny Shots and 9 large-cap stocks highly correlated to a recovery in China equities and economy. Please click below...
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First Word
5 takeaways from earnings season and why muted reaction to beats is not "late cycle" signal.
VIDEO: The muted reaction to positive EPS, in our view, reflects the cautious macro views (uncertainty) given the stubborn inflation reports. 1Q24 EPS seems more...
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Daily Technical Strategy
Granny Shot Technicals
SUPER GRANNIES: NVDA - BULLISH NVDA -3.77% ’s consolidation in recent weeks hasn’t resulted in any material technical damage and the stock lies just off all-time highs near...
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First Word
Three empirical reasons small-caps set to outperform in 2024 by as much as 50%. R2K EPS growth +690bp faster but trades at a 41% P/E discount. Feb Core PCE (Fri) likely below consensus = good
Recently, I was a panelist at an investment conference (thank you, Stephanie Link, for inviting me) and a snarky panelist, a hedge fund manager, started...
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