Close races, clock ticking

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The chart in this report is only accessible to members

Before going into some of the prime movers in the final week of the campaign, it is important to emphasize that the national popular vote race is all but irrelevant.  Polls that show which candidate is winning nationally may create the appearance of momentum for one candidate or the other, but because of the large margins Democrats tend to win in big population states such as CA, NY, and IL, they have an advantage in winning the popular vote.  In 2016 Hilary Clinton defeated Trump by nearly 3 million votes nationally but lost the Electoral College 306 for Trump and 232 for Clinton. 

Key state polls look like the national polling showing a very competitive race for the White House with nearly all the results within the margin of error.  The focus of both campaigns is on the five states that went for President Trump in 2016 and flipped to Biden in 2020. These five swing states are: PA, WI, AZ, NV, and MI and polls show tight races in each state.  Additionally, Democrats believe they have a chance to flip NC which was the state that former President Trump carried in 2020, but by the smallest margin of any state he won.  

Both Trump and Harris are spending most of their time in the closing days of th...
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