Ticker Appearances
Signal From Noise
Space Stocks: The Companies Helping Us Reach Escape Velocity
The space race has expanded dramatically since its early days. Although NASA retains its status as a major space agency, no longer are state-sponsored space...
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Daily Technical Strategy
Analysis of SPX, ITA, GE, AXON and DECK
Despite the minor intra-day pullback from earlier highs, ^SPX still managed to close at multi-day highs, and should fuel a further rise in prices up...
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Daily Technical Strategy
Airlines look attractive as a counter-trend tactical long
SPX AND QQQ HAVE SURGED ON ABOVE-AVERAGE BREADTH AND HAVE CARVED OUT IMPULSIVE RALLIES OVER THE PAST WEEK. THIS IS LIKELY A POSITIVE FOR GAINS...
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First Word
Equity markets bank into "bunker mode" in front of May FOMC but ATH in unemployment claims for over $200k earners = far softer wage growth ahead. April 2023 rebalance "Granny shots" net -3 (+7, -10).
Reminder, tune in this coming Thursday to an important webinar ___________________________________GRANNY SHOTS APRIL QUARTERLY REBALANCE TODAySEE BELOW FOR ADDS AND DELETES ___________________________________ Equity markets came...
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First Word
Are US PMIs bottoming? If so, Industrials gain >90% of the time with 12M returns 20-30%. 5 stocks + 3 ETFs. While seasonals and "hotter" economic data drive risk-off, Fed becoming "data dependent" historically leads to rising stocks despite higher rates.
Following several somewhat "hotter" data prints, markets are now moving back into the "higher for longer" camp, and in turn, markets are shifting into risk-off....
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Daily Technical Strategy
Aerospace/Defense nears breakout while Energy picking up steam
The near-term technical structure has worsened a bit this week with the break of 4100. While I ultimately expect any further pullback to prove mild...
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First Word
Bond and equity volatilities at lowest levels since 2021 = supportive >20% rise in 2023. Updating "Granny shots" +12 adds (-12 deletes). 2023 YTD +39bp outperformance. 2022 +395bp outperformance. List adds attached.
The most important event in the coming week is the Feb FOMC decision (2/1). We will have more comprehensive thoughts on Wednesday, but as many...
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Daily Technical Strategy
Transports nearing 50% retracement of 2020-2021 rally
September’s Triple Witching Friday close at multi-week lows is particularly negative for the prospects of a rally, and further selling still looks likely over the...
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Your Weekly Roadmap
Markets Sell-Off on Hot Inflation, Bad Consumer Sentiment
Good Evening: Markets were thrashed on Friday by a white-hot CPI print and also the lowest level for the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment survey...
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Technical Strategy
Aerospace & Defense along with Energy showing strength
Monday’s churning still leaves markets in bottoming process as the month of February comes to a close. While near-term price action remains choppy, rallies are...
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Signal From Noise
Space Stocks: The Companies Helping Us Reach Escape Velocity
The space race has expanded dramatically since its early days. Although NASA retains its status as a major space agency, no longer are state-sponsored space...
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Daily Technical Strategy
Analysis of SPX, ITA, GE, AXON and DECK
Despite the minor intra-day pullback from earlier highs, ^SPX still managed to close at multi-day highs, and should fuel a further rise in prices up...
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Daily Technical Strategy
Airlines look attractive as a counter-trend tactical long
SPX AND QQQ HAVE SURGED ON ABOVE-AVERAGE BREADTH AND HAVE CARVED OUT IMPULSIVE RALLIES OVER THE PAST WEEK. THIS IS LIKELY A POSITIVE FOR GAINS...
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First Word
Equity markets bank into "bunker mode" in front of May FOMC but ATH in unemployment claims for over $200k earners = far softer wage growth ahead. April 2023 rebalance "Granny shots" net -3 (+7, -10).
Reminder, tune in this coming Thursday to an important webinar ___________________________________GRANNY SHOTS APRIL QUARTERLY REBALANCE TODAySEE BELOW FOR ADDS AND DELETES ___________________________________ Equity markets came...
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First Word
Are US PMIs bottoming? If so, Industrials gain >90% of the time with 12M returns 20-30%. 5 stocks + 3 ETFs. While seasonals and "hotter" economic data drive risk-off, Fed becoming "data dependent" historically leads to rising stocks despite higher rates.
Following several somewhat "hotter" data prints, markets are now moving back into the "higher for longer" camp, and in turn, markets are shifting into risk-off....
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Daily Technical Strategy
Aerospace/Defense nears breakout while Energy picking up steam
The near-term technical structure has worsened a bit this week with the break of 4100. While I ultimately expect any further pullback to prove mild...
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First Word
Bond and equity volatilities at lowest levels since 2021 = supportive >20% rise in 2023. Updating "Granny shots" +12 adds (-12 deletes). 2023 YTD +39bp outperformance. 2022 +395bp outperformance. List adds attached.
The most important event in the coming week is the Feb FOMC decision (2/1). We will have more comprehensive thoughts on Wednesday, but as many...
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Daily Technical Strategy
Transports nearing 50% retracement of 2020-2021 rally
September’s Triple Witching Friday close at multi-week lows is particularly negative for the prospects of a rally, and further selling still looks likely over the...
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Your Weekly Roadmap
Markets Sell-Off on Hot Inflation, Bad Consumer Sentiment
Good Evening: Markets were thrashed on Friday by a white-hot CPI print and also the lowest level for the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment survey...
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Technical Strategy
Aerospace & Defense along with Energy showing strength
Monday’s churning still leaves markets in bottoming process as the month of February comes to a close. While near-term price action remains choppy, rallies are...
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