Ticker Appearances
First Word
Bond and equity volatilities at lowest levels since 2021 = supportive >20% rise in 2023. Updating "Granny shots" +12 adds (-12 deletes). 2023 YTD +39bp outperformance. 2022 +395bp outperformance. List adds attached.
The most important event in the coming week is the Feb FOMC decision (2/1). We will have more comprehensive thoughts on Wednesday, but as many...
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First Word
Updating "Granny shots": +9 additions, -5 deletions
Today is the October quarterly rebalance of our Granny Shots portfolio. The Granny Shots is a list of our core stock holdings, using 6 thematic/quantitative...
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First Word
The August 1982 moment: bear market "bottom" before Fed pivots -- if true, new highs coming sooner than most expect
The biggest takeaway for me on events of this week? Convincing and arguably decisive evidence the "bottom is in" -- the 2022 bear market is...
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Daily Technical Strategy
Discretionary looks close to bottoming out vs. Staples
The stall out and pullback in US Equities has accelerated further given WMT 1.49% ’s profit warning and subsequent 8% + drop on Tuesday. NDX has taken...
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First Word
After July FOMC, entire yield curve will be at or above "neutral rate" = optionality = 2H rally view intact
A big data week is ahead, with 3 major data incoming:7/27 is July FOMC --> +75bp is base case and few surprises expected7/28 2Q GDP...
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First Word
5 reasons equities rallying. Expanding breadth affirms 2022 "bottom" is in. P/E can expand with Fed hikes, as long as "shocks" are avoided. 2H rally.
We are starting to see strengthening internals for equity markets, including key leadership improvements from Technology (QQQ -0.15% ) and small-caps (IWM -0.53% ) and measures such as advance/decline...
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First Word
Bond and equity volatilities at lowest levels since 2021 = supportive >20% rise in 2023. Updating "Granny shots" +12 adds (-12 deletes). 2023 YTD +39bp outperformance. 2022 +395bp outperformance. List adds attached.
The most important event in the coming week is the Feb FOMC decision (2/1). We will have more comprehensive thoughts on Wednesday, but as many...
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First Word
Updating "Granny shots": +9 additions, -5 deletions
Today is the October quarterly rebalance of our Granny Shots portfolio. The Granny Shots is a list of our core stock holdings, using 6 thematic/quantitative...
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First Word
The August 1982 moment: bear market "bottom" before Fed pivots -- if true, new highs coming sooner than most expect
The biggest takeaway for me on events of this week? Convincing and arguably decisive evidence the "bottom is in" -- the 2022 bear market is...
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Daily Technical Strategy
Discretionary looks close to bottoming out vs. Staples
The stall out and pullback in US Equities has accelerated further given WMT 1.49% ’s profit warning and subsequent 8% + drop on Tuesday. NDX has taken...
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First Word
After July FOMC, entire yield curve will be at or above "neutral rate" = optionality = 2H rally view intact
A big data week is ahead, with 3 major data incoming:7/27 is July FOMC --> +75bp is base case and few surprises expected7/28 2Q GDP...
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First Word
5 reasons equities rallying. Expanding breadth affirms 2022 "bottom" is in. P/E can expand with Fed hikes, as long as "shocks" are avoided. 2H rally.
We are starting to see strengthening internals for equity markets, including key leadership improvements from Technology (QQQ -0.15% ) and small-caps (IWM -0.53% ) and measures such as advance/decline...
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