Ticker Appearances
Daily Technical Strategy
Analysis of SPX, ITA, GE, AXON and DECK
Despite the minor intra-day pullback from earlier highs, ^SPX 0.46% still managed to close at multi-day highs, and should fuel a further rise in prices up...
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Daily Technical Strategy
Airlines look attractive as a counter-trend tactical long
SPX AND QQQ HAVE SURGED ON ABOVE-AVERAGE BREADTH AND HAVE CARVED OUT IMPULSIVE RALLIES OVER THE PAST WEEK. THIS IS LIKELY A POSITIVE FOR GAINS...
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First Word
Equity markets bank into "bunker mode" in front of May FOMC but ATH in unemployment claims for over $200k earners = far softer wage growth ahead. April 2023 rebalance "Granny shots" net -3 (+7, -10).
Reminder, tune in this coming Thursday to an important webinar ___________________________________GRANNY SHOTS APRIL QUARTERLY REBALANCE TODAySEE BELOW FOR ADDS AND DELETES ___________________________________ Equity markets came...
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First Word
Are US PMIs bottoming? If so, Industrials gain >90% of the time with 12M returns 20-30%. 5 stocks + 3 ETFs. While seasonals and "hotter" economic data drive risk-off, Fed becoming "data dependent" historically leads to rising stocks despite higher rates.
Following several somewhat "hotter" data prints, markets are now moving back into the "higher for longer" camp, and in turn, markets are shifting into risk-off....
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Daily Technical Strategy
Aerospace/Defense nears breakout while Energy picking up steam
The near-term technical structure has worsened a bit this week with the break of 4100. While I ultimately expect any further pullback to prove mild...
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First Word
Bond and equity volatilities at lowest levels since 2021 = supportive >20% rise in 2023. Updating "Granny shots" +12 adds (-12 deletes). 2023 YTD +39bp outperformance. 2022 +395bp outperformance. List adds attached.
The most important event in the coming week is the Feb FOMC decision (2/1). We will have more comprehensive thoughts on Wednesday, but as many...
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Daily Technical Strategy
Analysis of SPX, ITA, GE, AXON and DECK
Despite the minor intra-day pullback from earlier highs, ^SPX 0.46% still managed to close at multi-day highs, and should fuel a further rise in prices up...
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Daily Technical Strategy
Airlines look attractive as a counter-trend tactical long
SPX AND QQQ HAVE SURGED ON ABOVE-AVERAGE BREADTH AND HAVE CARVED OUT IMPULSIVE RALLIES OVER THE PAST WEEK. THIS IS LIKELY A POSITIVE FOR GAINS...
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First Word
Equity markets bank into "bunker mode" in front of May FOMC but ATH in unemployment claims for over $200k earners = far softer wage growth ahead. April 2023 rebalance "Granny shots" net -3 (+7, -10).
Reminder, tune in this coming Thursday to an important webinar ___________________________________GRANNY SHOTS APRIL QUARTERLY REBALANCE TODAySEE BELOW FOR ADDS AND DELETES ___________________________________ Equity markets came...
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First Word
Are US PMIs bottoming? If so, Industrials gain >90% of the time with 12M returns 20-30%. 5 stocks + 3 ETFs. While seasonals and "hotter" economic data drive risk-off, Fed becoming "data dependent" historically leads to rising stocks despite higher rates.
Following several somewhat "hotter" data prints, markets are now moving back into the "higher for longer" camp, and in turn, markets are shifting into risk-off....
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Daily Technical Strategy
Aerospace/Defense nears breakout while Energy picking up steam
The near-term technical structure has worsened a bit this week with the break of 4100. While I ultimately expect any further pullback to prove mild...
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First Word
Bond and equity volatilities at lowest levels since 2021 = supportive >20% rise in 2023. Updating "Granny shots" +12 adds (-12 deletes). 2023 YTD +39bp outperformance. 2022 +395bp outperformance. List adds attached.
The most important event in the coming week is the Feb FOMC decision (2/1). We will have more comprehensive thoughts on Wednesday, but as many...
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