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CPI-Driven Easing in Rate Expectations Sparks Crypto Rebound, mNAV Expansion Supportive of Near-Term Continuation
DISCUSSED IN TODAY'S VIDEO:COOLER CPI REVERSED THE HAWKISH MOVE FROM EARLIER IN THE WEEK. Headline CPI came in at 2.4% YoY, below expectations, while core...
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Your Weekly Roadmap
Stocks Continue Slide, AI Trade Evolves
Good evening, The S&P 500 slipped 1.39% this week, and the Nasdaq Composite fell still further, ending the week down 2.10%. Software stocks helped lead...
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Daily Technical Strategy
Despite snapback rally, Momentum stocks still likely to be under pressure
EQUITY MARKETS HAVE REMAINED RANGE-BOUND OVER THE LAST FOUR MONTHS AS PART OF UNDERLYING INTERMEDIATE-TERM UPTRENDS. WHILE S&P IN EQUAL-WEIGHTED TERMS IS FAR MORE BULLISH, THE...
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US Policy
DHS Shutdown, Congress Leaves DC
Midnight tonight is the deadline for Congress to act to keep the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) open, but Congress left town on Thursday afternoon...
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First to Market
Americans Are Paying for Tariffs but Impact on Inflation Remains Unclear
CHART OF THE DAY GOOD MORNING! There’s even more research now that suggests that Americans are the ones who bore the burden of tariffs last...
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Earnings Daily
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: AI disruption of software is ultimately 'disinflationary,' and Jan Core CPI is within range of CPI 2018-2020, when Fed funds was 2%
Video_: _We realize it feels like a bear market out there because the story of 'software eating the World' (1980-2025) is now becoming one of...
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Daily Technical Strategy
Both REITS and Utilities have gotten appealing - Top picks for each
TRENDS FOR EQUITIES REMAIN UPWARD SLOPING BASED ON EQUAL-WEIGHTED SPX, BUT THE UNDERLYING VOLATILITY ACROSS EQUITIES HAS PICKED UP MEASURABLY DESPITE NO TRUE UNDERLYING TREND...
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First to Market
It’s the Healthcare Sector’s Job Market. We’re All Just Living in It.
CHART OF THE DAY GOOD MORNING! Yesterday’s jobs report led investors to lower their expectations for an interest-rate cut in March because the labor market...
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First Word
In AI, investors rotating into "bullet makers" and not the "armies." Friday's Jan CPI, coupled with visible AI impact, could trigger market to rethink inflation.
The S&P 500 is up +1.2% YTD, but the seemingly positive gain masks turmoil happening within sectors and within investor sentiment. The two primary things...
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