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Tue, January 14, 2025 | 10:11AM ET

⚡ FlashInsights

Tue, January 14, 2025 | 10:11AM ET
PPI downside surprise along w/ Trump's advisors saying he will "gradually bring Tariffs in" (We'll see if he agrees with this) resulting in mild bounce for US equity futures this morning. While a bounce is certainly near, it still might take 3-5 days before a true low is in and I'm eyeing the Inauguration as having a potential better likelihood than now, as price patterns aren't yet complete from a wave perspective and DeMark counts are also not yet in place. However, for those that missed last nights report (which was sent out early this morning) i do detail 10 reasons why a larger than expected bounce is near. For now, it's important to watch for evidence of this bounce from 5814 in Futures taking a three-wave trajectory, which ultimately might result in yet more selling after CPI (as this doesn't necessarily need to follow PPI's path) The area near 5700 has more importance than 5800. However, breadth and momentum would improve on any further selling pressure and these divergences will also be something to watch over the next couple days. ES 0.29% _F S&P Front month futures shown below - Both ES_F and ^SPX 0.30%  still look possible to not get meaningfully above 5925 before turning back lower, as breadth wasn't as good as expected from yesterday's lows, and structurally the move does not look complete.

First to Market
Tue, January 14, 2025 | 8:30AM ET

Chasing Waterfalls

A daily market update from FS Insight — what you need to know ahead of opening bell. _"Eventually, all things merge into one, and a...

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Daily Technical Strategy
Tue, January 14, 2025 | 7:00AM ET

Top 10 Technical reasons to think a low is right around the corner

SPX’S TECHNICAL TREND AND MOMENTUM REMAIN BEARISH BUT ARE NEARING AREAS IN PRICE AND TIME THIS WEEK, WHICH MIGHT PRODUCE A SHORT-TERM LOW, ALLOWING FOR...

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Macro Minute Video
Mon, January 13, 2025 | 9:16PM ET

Video: Macro Minute: 4 reasons markets could find a bottom this Wed

VIDEO: There is a regime change underway, resulting in stocks performing better when yields start to fall. We think this window could start this Wed....

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US Policy
Mon, January 13, 2025 | 11:46AM ET

Republicans Prepare For Trifecta

This week will see the first Senate hearings on some of some of the key nominees for incoming President Trump’s cabinet. Among the most watched...

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Mon, January 13, 2025 | 11:17AM ET

⚡ FlashInsights

Mon, January 13, 2025 | 11:17AM ET
Silver's reversal today looks meaningful and likely takes prices down to $27 before a bottoming and the start of a push back to new all-time highs. Given that the Fed is likely on hold with Rate cuts being distant and both Real rates and US Dollar pushing higher, it's unlikely that the next couple weeks will be too constructive for Precious metals, and specifically, Silver which has closer ties to China. Thus, while both Gold and Silver might pull back in the next couple weeks ahead of a bottom (which might also coincide with Treasury yields peaking) Silver should underperform, at present and could undercut December lows into late January. Any decline down to $28.50 in Front month Silver futures should be seen as the start of better risk/reward opportunities for those who are seeking Precious metals strength, but for now, Silver is an underperformer to Gold and might undercut December 2024 lows, while Gold shows some positive divergence in this regard. (SI_F)

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